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METHODS OF CURRENCY PORTFOLIO CREATION
Budík, Jan ; Kohút, Michal (referee) ; Král, Miloš (referee) ; Rejnuš, Oldřich (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
Doctoral thesis deals with the method of the currency portfolio creation focused on short-term trading, which not exceed one business day. That is the reason why is necessary to increase the profitability of investment positions by using financial leverage. Development of proposed investment strategies is realized with use of computer technology in combination with software that allows direct access to the foreign exchange market. The software enables direct access to a database of historical prices and has an implemented a programming language that allows effective processing of statistical analyzes, which is required for development of investment strategies. The investment strategies are optimized and tested on a database of historical price movements from 1. 1. 2004 to 31. 12. 2012 for the major currency pairs EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. The main assumption of entry to the market for proposed investment strategies is based on specific time intervals during the day, where is an increased probability of new short-term trends beginnings. The doctoral thesis statistically validated this assumption. The proposed method of creation a currency portfolio was applied to real market since 1. 1. 2013 to 30. 9. 2013 and was used for 20 000 $ trading account. Profitability of proposed method of creation a currency portfolio is 26,89%.
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The Use of SVM in Environment of Financial Markets
Štechr, Vladislav ; Prochocká, Kristína (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This thesis deals with use of regression or classification based on support vector machines from machine learning field. SVMs predict values that are used for decisions of automatic trading system. Regression and classification are evaluated for their usability for decision making. Strategy is being then optimized, tested and evaluated on foreign exchange market Forex historic data set. Results are promising. Strategy could be used in combination with other strategy that would confirm decisions for entering and exiting trades.
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Design and Optimalization of Trading System Based on the Principles of Triple Screen
Kudláček, David ; Stoklásek, Libor (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This diploma thesis deals with the Triple Screen trading system in the theoretical and practical level. As part of the work semiautomatic trading system, which focuses on trading with corn is designed. Previously, there are discussed theoretical assumptions necessary for the successful implementation of the trading system. There is explained and described deal with corn and principles and possibilities nowadays. The practical part includes the creation of custom application in Matlab development environment and scripting language. Using this application is simulated trading corn with selected trend indicators and oscillators. Using historical data there is found the best combination of indicators and it is subsequently applied on the following dates.
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Investment Environment in the Virtual Real Cash Economy
Lehnert, Filip ; Hlavinka, Roman (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The subject of this thesis is to introduce the reader to the issue of possible financial investment in the virtual economy with real funds and design strategies to maximize the initial capital appreciation. The introduction describes the analysis of virtual PED currency, the economy and the system of publicly traded shares. The main part is focused on presenting the results of practical traded investment based on fundamental analysis, speculation about the intrinsic value of the shares and evaluating applied strategies, including the benefits of work.
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Cryptocurrency Wallets
Mařík, Tomáš ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Luhan, Jan (advisor)
The aim of the thesis is to assess investment and technological potential cryptocurrencies on the basis of their technical, economic and legal analysis. The work deals cryptocurrencies, analysis and wallet selection.
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The use of artificial intelligence in the capital markets to reduce the risks of trading
Orság, Štěpán ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
This thesis deals with the prediction of trading at financial markets and by using the prediction is trying to reduce the risks of entering at the market. The prediction has been work out by using of artificial intelligence. The artificial intelligence is in this thesis represented by neural networks witch model and predict market behavior. The thesis contains a description of the financial markets, exchange trading and its analysis, and artificial intelligence methods. The main part of this thesis is a model for prediction of prices of a particular instrument. This model was developed in MATLAB and should serve as a support for making business decisions. Its aim is to predict the direction and magnitude of movement the price level for the next trading day. The output of this model is processed using the platform MetaTrader 4. At the end are evaluated possible gains from this solution.
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Design of Automatic Trading System for Intraday Trading on Forex
Neřád, Václav ; Cibula, Peter (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This diploma thesis deals with theoretical and practical aspect of the Forex market and all important information that is necessary for its understanding and trading on this market, focused on intraday trading with automated trading system. The main goal of this thesis is to create whole information source for beginner forex traders and to describe them all trading risks and the ways how to reduce these risks, for example through the using of money management and creating suitable automated trading strategy. The next part describes fundamental, technical and partly psychological analysis. This part is mainly focused on technical analysis and describing well known and the most widely used indicators of technical analysis. Based on gained knowledge, several automated intraday trading strategies suitable for small initial capital on the most liquid currency pair EUR/USD are designed, tested and evaluated. These strategies are based on technical indicators and its combinations.
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Design and Optimalization of Automatic Trading System
Boček, František ; Plaček, Marek (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The goal of this work is to describe approaches to financial market analysis and implement chosen approaches in automatic trading system in the MetaQuote Language environment for Metatrader platform. Another objective is to optimise the designed trading system and test additional rules to achieve maximum profit during minimalization risks.
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