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The impact of foreign exchange intervetion of CNB on international trade of Czech Republic
Mikšík, Matěj ; Chytil, Zdeněk (advisor) ; Kadeřábková, Božena (referee)
The goal of this thesis is to analyze the impact of currency depreciation caused by foreing exchange intervention of Czech National Bank in November 2013 on international trade between Czech Republic and Germany. The volume of foreign trade of Czech Republic has been growing, but Czech Republic gradually loses commercial potential. The standart view of the impact of foreign exchange intervention is to stimulate export. But the theoretical concept called J-curve states that currency depreciation leads at first to the decrease of net export in the short run. To increase net export the Marshall-Lerner condition has to be met. The work verifies the hypothesis that after foreign exchange intervention the decrease of net export occurs before improving. Research uses cointegration analysis and Error correction model on the basis of quarter data from the first quarter of year 2005 to the second quarter of year 2014. The results confirms the concept of J-Curve in the bilateral trade of Czech Republic and Germany. In the first two quarters after foreign exchange intervention there is the decrease in net export. The Marshall-Lerner condition is met during the second quarter and the depreciation of the crown leads to the expected growth in net export.
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Inflation targeting in an environment of deflationary pressures
Krupička, Josef ; Koderová, Jitka (advisor) ; Revenda, Zbyněk (referee)
This research paper on monetary policy focuses on strategy of inflation targeting and its modification in an environment of deflationary pressures. Focus of this paper is based on three main points that correspond to the content of individual chapters. The first point is a theoretical analysis of the main attributes of inflation targeting with emphasis on analysis of the functioning of the transmission channels. The second point is an analysis of implementation of this strategy in the Czech National Bank and in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. In this point separate analysis was made of the development of inflation targeting and transformation of relationship between macroeconomic variables in transmission mechanism. The third point then debates the modification of monetary policy instruments in the context of inflation targeting adopted by the Czech National Bank, with an emphasis on the introduction of exchange rate commitment. Throughout the work are used simple methods for analysis with further emphasis on the actuality. The conclusion summarizes the findings and evaluates the modification of the inflation targeting strategy as a positive phenomenon in the context of evolution of monetary policy.
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Monetary policy of CNB in zero lower bound
Bohatec, Martin ; Ševčíková, Michaela (advisor) ; Pfeifer, Lukáš (referee)
This thesis deals with CNB interventions in favor of the exchange rate depreciation of November 2013. The theoretical part presents alternative tools for unconventional monetary policy when zero lower bound is binding. This thesis then describes the experience of other central banks that responded to low interest rates. Intervention of CNB is contextualized in the Czech financial system and previous economic development. The thesis analyses alternative instruments which CNB might have accessed. Based on the analyzed data this thesis concludes that despite the long-term maintenance of weakened Koruna above the level of announced exchange rate pledge the sufficiently loose monetary policy was not translated into desired price increase.
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Forex interventions of CNB in front of the door to Eurozone
Kadlec, Tomáš
Kadlec, T. Forex interventions of CNF in front of the door to Eurozone. Di-ploma thesis. Brno: Mendel University, 2015. This thesis study the foreign exchange intervention of Czech National Bank, launched in November 2013. Under the circumstances have been chosen to use the Marshall-Lerner condition which finds the economy suitable for cur-rency devaluation or not. For reach this goal have been calculated regression analysis with two alternative results for calculating the condition. In the first alternative, full Marshall-Lerner equation, could not be satisfaction of condi-tion proven, but nor was dissatisfaction. In the second one, where was import of Czech Republic calculated with zero value according to regression analysis result, was the condition satisfied. Results have been compared with numbers from United Kingdom and found opposed. In comparison to Slovak Republic was found Czech development of macroeconomic indicators better.
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Vliv devizových intervencí ČNB na českou ekonomiku
Beránek, Stanislav
Beránek, S. Effect of foreign exchange interventions on the Czech economy. Bachelor thesis. Brno: Mendel University in Brno, 2014. The thesis deals with foreign-exchange interventions of Czech National Bank (CNB) in 2013. The thesis describes principles of interaction with the tools of the economy, particularly the exchange rate mechanism, which is related to the foreign exchange interventions. The thesis also detected the state of the economy before the intervention of the CNB. Actual state of selected macroeconomic indicators is compared with the situation that would occur in the absence of foreign exchange interventions. On the basis of these analyzes is to formulate conclusions.
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Unconventional monetary policy in theory and empirical evidence
LEXA, David
The Diploma thesis deals with unconventional monetary policies,that important central banks used in order to cope with global financial and economic crisis in recent years. Goals of the paper is to introduce the most significant unconventional monetary policies, analyze their effectivity in selected countries (Japan, USA, Great Britain, eurozone and Czech republic), and statistically test impact of these nonstandard approaches on international trade.
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Analysis of Foreign Exchange Reserves of Bank of Russia in the Years 2004 - 2012
Vlazneva, Anna ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Kučera, Lukáš (referee)
This bachelor thesis focuses on the analysis of foreign exchange reserves of Bank of Russia in the years 2004 -- 2012. The first chapter explains the most important theoretical terms, knowledge of which is necessary to understanding the topic, and describes the theoretical approaches to determining the minimum or optimal level of reserve holdings. The next section is devoted to the Bank of Russia, instruments of monetary policy it uses and a special regime of exchange reserves accumulation, related to Russia's position as one of the world's largest exporters. The last part concerns with the analysis of Russia's foreign exchange reserve holdings in the years 2004 -- 2012 from the various views and is closed with calculating the minimum level of reserve holdings required by indicators described in the theoretical part.
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The Japanese yen in the composition of international foreign exchange reserves
Vařenka, Marek ; Durčáková, Jaroslava (advisor) ; Mandel, Martin (referee)
This bachelor thesis mainly aims to characterizeofficial foreign exchange reserves, the reasons for holding reserves, its composition, optimal size and historical development.Impacts of balance of payments and foreign exchange rate regimes are also mentioned. Among other reasons for foreign reserve accumulation, foreign exchange interventions are very important and relatively frequent use of foreign exchange holdings in Japan, therefore there is included one whole chapter dedicated do them. Currencystability,well developed financial markets and other factors are necessary conditions for currency to play a role as a reserve currency. These conditions are listed in the chapter Reserve currency. Recent and also historical development of currency composition of the foreign currency reserves is specified in the last chapter.
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The role of the US dollar as a global reserve currency and major currency in international trade
Škodáčková, Marcela ; Mandel, Martin (advisor)
Bretton Woods established a system of payments based on the dollar. Despite declining value in time, US dollar still plays an important role in foreign exchange markets and in in-ternational trade. This bachelor thesis examines the status of the U.S. dollar as a global re-serve currency and major international currency across several key areas. Dollar dominates in foreign exchange markets (foreign exchange intervention), in banking (reserve accumula-tion), in trade or financial transactions and it is mostly used as monetary anchor. Since 1970s, American dollars has been held by foreign institutions outside the United States. Herewith, a new element in the global economy -- Eurodollars -- arose. Eurodollar deposits are attractive for investors because they are free of most regulatory burdens imposed by U.S. authorities. The emergence of the euro as a major currency and global competitor fuelled the debate over the dollars international role. Accordingly, there are some predictions whether euro or some supranational currency might in the future rival or surpass the dollar as the world's reserve and major currency in international trade.
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