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Assessment of climate change impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic: application of land use scenarios
Lorencová, Eliška ; Vačkářová, Davina Elena (advisor) ; Müller, Karel (referee) ; Cudlín, Pavel (referee)
Doctoral thesis abstract Assessment of climate change impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic: Application of land use scenarios MSc Eliška Lorencová Climate and land use change are recognized as the greatest global environmental problems. Both considerably impact delivery of crucial ecosystem services, such as carbon sequestration, water flow regulation, erosion control, and food and fibre production. By combining future projections of ALARM scenarios (for years 2020, 2050 and 2080) with modelling of ecosystem services, the study aims to evaluate climate change impact on selected ecosystem services (carbon storage and sequestration, erosion control and sediment retention) in the Czech Republic. This study provides quantitative as well as spatially explicit analysis of the impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic. Performed ecosystem service assessment indicates that spatial distribution of provision of ecosystem services, such as carbon storage and sequestration, sediment retention reflects the projected future land use changes. In case of carbon sequestration, SEDG scenario shows the lowest carbon sequestration rates accounting for 37,029.6 Gg C within the period 2000-2080. Stable vegetation cover is one of the factors that play important role in amount of sediment...
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Elaboration of methodical data and technical data in relation to the temperature conditions in the city, survey of attitudes and public participation and adjustment of the system of monitoring by adaptations in the city
Lorencová, Eliška ; Cuřín, Vojtěch ; Geletič, Jan ; Baďura, Tomáš ; Bašta, Petr ; Nawrath, Martin ; Lekeš, Vojtěch ; Vačkář, David
This report presents outputs from analyses supported by City Council of Prague. The report summarizes the results from the simulation of temperature extremes (heat waves) and the evaluation of the potential solutions for the pilot area of Prague 6. The second part introduces survey, aimed at investigating public attitudes in the field of climate change impacts and adaptation and elaboration of the basis for realization of the crowd-source mapping and elaboration of the methodology for participation and communication with the public, urban areas and the wider public. This part presents the results of the public survey processed on a representative sample of 550 inhabitants of the city of Prague. In addition, a proposal for setting up monitoring for the selection and evaluation of pilot adaptation projects is presented, which is focused on the monitoring and evaluation of ongoing and new projects implemented in the framework of the Prague Adaptation Strategy. \n \n
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Vulnerability analysis of climate change impacts in the city of Prague
Lorencová, Eliška ; Emmer, Adam ; Geletič, Jan ; Vačkář, David
Climate change is one of the key challenges of the 21st century, both in terms of adaptation as well as mitigation. The aim of this research was, following the Adaptation Strategy of the City of Prague, to prepare the background analysis for the Adaptation Action Plan, focusing on vulnerability assessment. The vulnerability asssessment focused on the climate change impacts related to: (i) temperature extremes - heatwaves, (ii) insufficient rainwater retention and extreme rainfall. The approach included spatially-specific analysis using ArcGIS based on climatic, land use and socio-economic indicators for the current status and future RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Regarding vulnerability to heatwaves, the most affected areas are located in the city center (Prague 2, Prague 3, Prague 6, Prague 7, Prague 1) and some peripheral areas with industrial buildings (e.g. Libeň or Štěrboholy). Vulnerability to extreme precipitation and insufficient rainwater retention was highest particularly at the confluence of the Vltava and Berounka (Velká Chuchle, Prague 16, Zbraslav and Lipence).
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Vulnerability analysis of climate change impacts in the city of Prague
Lorencová, Eliška ; Emmer, Adam ; Geletič, Jan ; Bašta, Petr ; Vačkář, David
Climate change is one of the key challenges of the 21st century, both in terms of adaptation as well as mitigation. The aim of this research was, following the Adaptation Strategy of the City of Prague, to prepare the background analysis for the Adaptation Action Plan, focusing on vulnerability assessment. The vulnerability asssessment focused on the climate change impacts related to: (i) temperature extremes - heatwaves, (ii) insufficient rainwater retention and extreme rainfall. The approach included spatially-specific analysis using ArcGIS based on climatic, land use and socio-economic indicators for the current status and future RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Regarding vulnerability to heatwaves, the most affected areas are located in the city center (Prague 2, Prague 3, Prague 6, Prague 7, Prague 1) and some peripheral areas with industrial buildings (e.g. Libeň or Štěrboholy). Vulnerability to extreme precipitation and insufficient rainwater retention was highest particularly at the confluence of the Vltava and Berounka (Velká Chuchle, Prague 16, Zbraslav and Lipence).
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Assessment of climate change impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic: application of land use scenarios
Lorencová, Eliška ; Vačkářová, Davina Elena (advisor) ; Müller, Karel (referee) ; Cudlín, Pavel (referee)
Doctoral thesis abstract Assessment of climate change impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic: Application of land use scenarios MSc Eliška Lorencová Climate and land use change are recognized as the greatest global environmental problems. Both considerably impact delivery of crucial ecosystem services, such as carbon sequestration, water flow regulation, erosion control, and food and fibre production. By combining future projections of ALARM scenarios (for years 2020, 2050 and 2080) with modelling of ecosystem services, the study aims to evaluate climate change impact on selected ecosystem services (carbon storage and sequestration, erosion control and sediment retention) in the Czech Republic. This study provides quantitative as well as spatially explicit analysis of the impacts on selected ecosystem services in the Czech Republic. Performed ecosystem service assessment indicates that spatial distribution of provision of ecosystem services, such as carbon storage and sequestration, sediment retention reflects the projected future land use changes. In case of carbon sequestration, SEDG scenario shows the lowest carbon sequestration rates accounting for 37,029.6 Gg C within the period 2000-2080. Stable vegetation cover is one of the factors that play important role in amount of sediment...
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Socioeconomic study for the establishment of the periurban park Confluence, Prague
Daněk, J. ; Harmáčková, Veronika Zuzana ; Lorencová, Eliška ; Sejková, Apolónia ; Zelený, J. ; Vačkář, David
The aim of the study is to elaborate the socioeconomic analysis of the region at the confluence of the Vltava and Berounka rivers and proposing possible solutions for the shared governance of the peri-urban park (PP) in administratively divided region. The summary report contains results of the study as a qualitative sociological analysis to analyze the value attitudes of individual actors, communication barriers, designing models of governance and, the results of the questionnaires on the attitudes of the inhabitans. This socioeconomic study is part of a pilot project, the establishment of a suburban park Confluence, which is coordinated by The Prague Institute of Planning and Development (IPR).
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Methodology for the assessment of environmental risk of ecosystem services provision
Pártl, Adam ; Loučková, Blanka ; Hák, T. ; Janoušková, S. ; Lorencová, Eliška ; Rejentová, L. ; Stein, Z. ; Vačkář, David
The proposed methodology is new in the context of the Czech Republic, and it is based on a number of foreign professional both scientific and applied studies that focus on risk assessment at different levels. Integrated assessment of environmental risks of ecosystem services has not yet been implemented m the Czech republic. Also the implementation process has not been developed, nor any methodology or any methodological guide. The methodology provides new and unique method for risk assessment of prov1s1on of ecosystem services and their vulnerability. Integrated method is based on the classical risk assessment and vulnerability to environmental hazards. This method has been verified within the EnviSec project Integrated assessment of the global change impacts on the environmental security of the Czech Republic (VG20122015091). The results of risk assessment, implemented according to this methodology, are already available at the National Geoportal INSPIRE and included into the map application of the mentioned project at the http://envisec.cenia.cz.
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Exploring beliefs about climate change and attitudes towards adaptation among Czech citizens
Lorencová, Eliška ; Vačkář, David
Climate change currently represents one of the major global environmental problems. In order to respond to these changes, adaptation actions at all levels, from national to local, need to be undertaken (European Commission 2013). Moreover, perceptions of climate change are an important element affecting actual attitudes towards adaptation actions and influencing policy and communication regarding climate change (Lorenzoni et al. 2005). This paper presents the results of a survey on perceptions of climate change, including beliefs about climate change and attitudes towards adaptation, conducted among 1,024 Czech citizens in October 2014. Survey results show that the majority of respondents (78%) agreed with the statement that global climate change is happening. Positive responses about perceptions of climate change were found especially among younger people (18 to 34 years of age). In terms of adaptation measures, 51% of respondents had adopted a variety of individual actions (ranging from water savings to property insurance), discussed in the paper in further detail. Older people (≥ 45 years of age) with higher education preferred rather technical adaptation measures (e.g. flood protection for property, installation of rainwater reservoirs, etc.). The survey represents unique insights into attitudes towards climate change within the Czech Republic which had not previously been investigated to this extent. The results provided can support decision-making regarding adaptation policy, individual adaptation actions, and communication of climate change issues towards general public. Introduction
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Methodological framework for integrated assessment of ecosystem services in the Czech Republic
Vačkář, David ; Frélichová, Jana ; Lorencová, Eliška ; Pártl, Adam ; Harmáčková, Veronika Zuzana ; Loučková, Blanka
EU biodiversity strategy to 2020 requires Member States in 2014 to map and assess the state of ecosystems and their services in its national territory. At the same time, the economic value of these services should be assessed (Goal 2, Action 5, Improve knowledge of ecosystems and their services in the EU). In connection with this commitment we present methodology, which aims to provide a coherent conceptual framework and basic principles for the assessment and valuation of ecosystem services in the Czech Republic. The aim of the methodology is providing basic principles and procedures for assessing and monitoring the status of ecosystem services, especially with regard to the preparation and implementation of the national assessment of ecosystem services. The methodological framework for the assessment of ecosystem services in the Czech Republic supports the Ministry of the Environment as the basis for the development of strategies and policies in the field of biodiversity conservation, especially in relation to Section 79, para. 2 (a) of the Act no. 114/1992 Coll., On Nature and Landscape Conservation, as amended.
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