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National Repository of Grey Literature 1 records found  Search took 0.01 seconds. 
Europe in transformation: possible scenarios from neorealist and constructivist perspectives
 Tran, Helen ; Kofroň, Jan (advisor) ; Ditrych, Ondřej (referee)
The security situation in Europe is in a shift. Careful actions are called for if Europe wants to keep maintain peace in its territory. To this end, it is important to know how the choices made will affect what the future brings. To investigate the future development of the EU and Europe in general, I utilize the method of scenario building. Building scenarios of the future requires a guideline for interpretation of the states' actions as well as making assumptions of their interests. Several theories have been developed to model international relations. I choose two opposing theories, neorealism and constructivism as the basis of my scenarios. I show that while neorealism represent a pessimistic view with an eventual dissolution of the EU, constructivism has higher hopes regarding the Union's future and even suggests a possible expansion. I further argue that neorealism is better suited for scenario building, because it offers a clearer step-by-step path to follow.
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