National Repository of Grey Literature 2 records found  Search took 0.01 seconds. 
Operational risk modelling
Mináriková, Eva ; Mazurová, Lucie (advisor) ; Hlubinka, Daniel (referee)
In the present thesis we will firstly familiarize ourselves with the term of operational risk, it's definition presented in the directives Basel II and Solvency II, and afterwards with the methods of calculation Capital Requirements for Operational Risk, set by these directives. In the second part of the thesis we will concentrate on the methods of modelling operational loss data. We will introduce the Extreme Value Theory which describes possible approaches to modelling data with significant values that occur infrequently; the typical characteristic of operational risk data. We will mainly focus on the model for threshold exceedances which utilizes Generalized Pareto Distribution to model the distribution of those excesses. The teoretical knowledge of this theory and the appropriate modelling will be applied on simulated loss data. Finally we will test the ability of presented methods to model loss data distributions.
Large deviations and their applications in insurance mathematics
Fuchsová, Lucia ; Pawlas, Zbyněk (advisor) ; Klebanov, Lev (referee)
Title: Large deviations and their applications in insurance mathematics Author: Lucia Fuchsová Department: Department of Probability and Mathematical Statistics Supervisor: RNDr. Zbyněk Pawlas, Ph.D. Supervisor's e-mail address: Zbynek.Pawlas@mff.cuni.cz Abstract: In the present work we study large deviations theory. We discuss heavy-tailed distributions, which describe the probability of large claim oc- curence. We are interested in the use of large deviations theory in insurance. We simulate claim sizes and their arrival times for Cramér-Lundberg model and first we analyze the probability that ruin happens in dependence on the parameters of our model for Pareto distributed claim size, next we compare ruin probability for other claim size distributions. For real life data we model the probability of large claim size occurence by generalized Pareto distribu- tion. 1

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