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Special problems of non-stationarity in financial time series
Radič, Pavol ; Zichová, Jitka (advisor) ; Prášková, Zuzana (referee)
The aim of this thesis is a detailed analysis of selected approaches of unit root testing. First chapter deals with the basic knowledge of the theory of stochastic processes. Further, we describe Dickey-Fuller tests, t-tests and likelihood ratio tests for the presence of a unit root and derive their asymptotic properties. Numerical studies include comparison of accuracy of the parameter estimates, estimating quantiles of the presented distributions, their graphical presentation and determination of power of our tests. The acquired theoretical knowledge is applied on real data which were analyzed using software Mathematica and R. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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Special problems of non-stationarity in financial time series
Radič, Pavol ; Zichová, Jitka (advisor) ; Prášková, Zuzana (referee)
The aim of this thesis is a detailed analysis of selected approaches of unit root testing. First chapter deals with the basic knowledge of the theory of stochastic processes. Further, we describe Dickey-Fuller tests, t-tests and likelihood ratio tests for the presence of a unit root and derive their asymptotic properties. Numerical studies include comparison of accuracy of the parameter estimates, estimating quantiles of the presented distributions, their graphical presentation and determination of power of our tests. The acquired theoretical knowledge is applied on real data which were analyzed using software Mathematica and R. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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Selected Unit Root Tests in Time series
Fedorová, Darina ; Arltová, Markéta (advisor) ; Hindls, Richard (referee)
The emphasis of this diploma thesis is placed on the verification of stationarity in time series using the Unit Root Tests and their most common modifications that are introduced in the theoretical part of this paper. Tests mainly by Dickey and Fuller, Phillips and Perron, and KPSS test are introduced as well as their modifications in the form of ERS, Ng and Perron, and Leybourne and McCabe tests. Moreover the HEGY test for testing stationarity in the seasonal Time series and Perron test of structural breaks for Time series with shocks are described. There is also outlined the process of testing multiple Unit Roots. The empirical part of this paper consists of simulations of AR(1) time series generated using the software R, their testing for stationarity by selected Unit Root tests and the comparison of power of these tests. The conclusion includes recommendations which tests and under what conditions are the most suitable for testing Time series for the presence of Unit Root.
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Natural rate of unemployment or hysteresis? The case of the Czech Republic
Bechný, Jakub ; Potužák, Pavel (advisor) ; Kadeřábková, Božena (referee)
The aim of this thesis is to empirically investigate, using stationarity and unit root tests, whether is the labor market of the Czech Republic developing accordingly to the natural rate of unemployment theory, or the hysteresis theory. Taking into consideration a structural break in the second half of the nineties I conclude, that the hysteresis at the national level works only in unemployment. Employment data, on the other hand, do not indicate the hysteresis. Unemployment tests on the regional level then suggest, that transitory shocks have permanent effects only in half of the regions.
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