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Design of Automatic Trading System Based on Trend Indicators and Oscillators
Cibula, Peter ; Dostál, Petr (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This thesis deals with the implementation of the software for automated stock trading based on trend indicators and oscillators. It describes the various signals that are provided by formations in charts and technical indicators, but also the possibility of using advanced artificial intelligence methods. This document describes entire development process of the software from individual parts to the folding of these parts into one system. It focuses on the optimization processes of individual parts, as well as a complete system. This thesis also deals with the testing of the system on historical data and its application on the latest data. It introduces the future plans, deployment options to the real market and its further improvement in order to develop ideal business system capable of autonomous thinking and trading.
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Testing of Indicators for Technical Analysis in Stock Market Trading
Melichar, Josef ; Žák, Jakub (referee) ; Rozman, Jaroslav (advisor)
This thesis deals with testing indicators of technical analysis and their behavior with different kinds of market. In this thesis we tested simple moving averages, exponential moving averages, relative strength index indicator, MACD indicator, and stochastic indicator. At the end we tested a combined indicator, and that was stochastic with MACD. We created an automatic trading system for each of these indicators. From the results we can find out, that by optimizing the technical indicators we can get satisfying results by increasing the profitability. Indicators that seemed non-profitable were in fact profitable after the optimization. However testing parameters of indicators of technical analysis alone is not enough to make a stable profit.
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Testing of Indicators for Technical Analysis in Stock Market Trading
Melichar, Josef ; Žák, Jakub (referee) ; Rozman, Jaroslav (advisor)
This thesis deals with testing indicators of technical analysis and their behavior with different kinds of market. In this thesis we tested simple moving averages, exponential moving averages, relative strength index indicator, MACD indicator, and stochastic indicator. At the end we tested a combined indicator, and that was stochastic with MACD. We created an automatic trading system for each of these indicators. From the results we can find out, that by optimizing the technical indicators we can get satisfying results by increasing the profitability. Indicators that seemed non-profitable were in fact profitable after the optimization. However testing parameters of indicators of technical analysis alone is not enough to make a stable profit.
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Design of Automatic Trading System Based on Trend Indicators and Oscillators
Cibula, Peter ; Dostál, Petr (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This thesis deals with the implementation of the software for automated stock trading based on trend indicators and oscillators. It describes the various signals that are provided by formations in charts and technical indicators, but also the possibility of using advanced artificial intelligence methods. This document describes entire development process of the software from individual parts to the folding of these parts into one system. It focuses on the optimization processes of individual parts, as well as a complete system. This thesis also deals with the testing of the system on historical data and its application on the latest data. It introduces the future plans, deployment options to the real market and its further improvement in order to develop ideal business system capable of autonomous thinking and trading.
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Technical analysis of the precious metals market
Gronský, David ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor) ; Ducháčková, Eva (referee)
The main goal of this thesis is to create several trade systems in order to examine their rate of successfulness. The basic knowledge of the technical analysis serves as the theoretical basis. One of their instruments namely technical indicators are used. Selected technical indicators are applied on a financial investment instrument, that is represented by the share of a mining company. The time horizon the trading systems are based on in their respective analyses, is four years. In the initial part there are individual components determined from the theoretical point of view, followed by application and evaluation of their outputs related to individual strategies. Finally, there is a trading system to be created in an appropriate combination, which is subjected to the analysis followed by a potential optimization and subsequent assessment of its possible application in real trading.
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The use of technical indicators in position trading of commodity futures
Fičura, Milan ; Musílek, Petr (advisor)
In this thesis I have tried to describe the basics of futures trading, technical analysis and trading system development. Particularly I have focused on technical indicators, where I have described the majority of those that are most often used for futures trading today. Further I have focused on trading system development and described the proces of backtesting, optimalization and evaluation of trading systems. In the practical part of this chapter I have developed 30 simple trading systems and then backtested them on the historical daily data of 10 commodity futures contracts during the years 2001-2010. To simulate a real trading conditions i have used the years 2001-2005 for optimalization and development, and the years 2006-2010 for backtesting and evaluation. The results were that most of the systems reached relatively good profits, but only low robustness and high riskiness. Also the contra-trend systems performed much worse in the second period than the trend-following systems. From the results i could reject the hypothesis that the yields of the systems (in the second period) are random on 0,1% level of significance. However, it can't be said surely, if the systems have "beat the market" (on risk-adjusted basis), because altrought their net returns were extraordinary, their riskiness was also very high.
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Sophisticated trading strategies and systems on electronic trading
Bezděkovský, Jakub ; Votava, Libor (advisor) ; Donát, Lukáš (referee)
Work clarifies the issues about trading strategies and systems to the starting traders. Attention is concentrated on trader with a small account. In the theoretical part, reader is introduced to the realities of trading and is briefed by the basics of theoretical knowledge. Using data analysis is made the trading strategy with trading systems. The goal is to try to answer the question whether it is possible to have constant gains in the financial markets using these strategies. The result of this work is a strategy that is made up of three business systems. These mechanical trading systems were programmed in the program Metatrader 4. After the final evaluation of trading systems and the whole strategy, we find that these trading systems (in spite of profitability) do not meet the requirements for trading. The conclusion is based on interview with professional trader, who suggests to the starting traders the way, which would lead to the constant gains using sophisticated trading strategies and systems.
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