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Analysis of Financial Time Series During a Crisis
PRŮDEK, Lukáš
In this thesis, we will analyze financial time series during and before the crisis. These series will be analyzed using the Box-Jenkins methodology. The aim is to understand this method and then apply it to the prices of the DAX and PX stock indices. The DAX stock index values were compiled by the Frankfurt Stock Exchange and the PX index values were compiled by the Prague Stock Exchange. I will attempt to build models that can reliably describe the series in question for subsequent forecasting over sub-periods. These models and the predictions made from them will then be used to compare changes in time series behaviour.

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