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Discrete versions of continuous financial models
Graeber, Jiří ; Hurt, Jan (advisor) ; Zahradník, Petr (referee)
This thesis studies the continuous-time financial models and their discrete versions, used for simulations and parameters estimations. Firstly, various stock price development and interest rates models are introduced. As a result of their uncertain future dynamics, these are defined as continuous-time stochastic processes. Secondly, a summary of discrete versions of continuous-time models, formed by Euler and Milstein discretization schemes, i.e. two most frequent ways of approximating a time-continuous stochastic process, is looked at. According to these discrete versions, simulations with different parameters are conducted in the third part of the thesis in order to illustrate individual behaviour of these models. In the conclusion, a comparison of a unique trajectory specified by the real data of one year interest rates swaps and of the simulations of Vasicek and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model with parameters estimated from the real data is shown.
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Economic scenarios in insurance
Krýcha, Daniel ; Branda, Martin (advisor) ; Hurt, Jan (referee)
In this thesis we will focus on interest rate modelling and related practical aspects. We will explain the significance of generated scenarios of interest rate's movement for economic results of both life and non-life insurance companies. We will analyse presently known ways of approaching this matter and describe the selected models in detail. Taking into consideration the practical focus of this thesis, we will address the applied methods of model's calibration. Furthermore, we will employ these methods in an extensive numerical study, that will aim to reveal the weaknesses and strengths of particular calibration methods while implementing a specific model and to evaluate their potential application in actuarial practice. Central model of this work is CIR (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) model.
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Interest Rate Models - Practical Aspects
Hakala, Michal ; Janeček, Martin (advisor) ; Sitař, Milan (referee)
Topic of the master thesis is practice of interest rate models. Literature dedicated to the interest rate models usually presents theory in very general form. Theory presented in general form leads to a gap between theory and practice. Author tries to fill this gap. Thesis describes basic theory and presents practical computations, which are relevant to generating interest rate scenarios. Contribution is given by derivation of formulas and computational methods in form directly applicable for implementation of presented models. It is common practice to validate quality of interest rate scenarios. Author presents several tests and implements them in programming language Python. Tests are implemented as application with graphical user interface.
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Discrete versions of continuous financial models
Graeber, Jiří ; Hurt, Jan (advisor) ; Zahradník, Petr (referee)
This thesis studies the continuous-time financial models and their discrete versions, used for simulations and parameters estimations. Firstly, various stock price development and interest rates models are introduced. As a result of their uncertain future dynamics, these are defined as continuous-time stochastic processes. Secondly, a summary of discrete versions of continuous-time models, formed by Euler and Milstein discretization schemes, i.e. two most frequent ways of approximating a time-continuous stochastic process, is looked at. According to these discrete versions, simulations with different parameters are conducted in the third part of the thesis in order to illustrate individual behaviour of these models. In the conclusion, a comparison of a unique trajectory specified by the real data of one year interest rates swaps and of the simulations of Vasicek and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model with parameters estimated from the real data is shown.
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Economic scenarios in insurance
Krýcha, Daniel ; Branda, Martin (advisor) ; Hurt, Jan (referee)
In this thesis we will focus on interest rate modelling and related practical aspects. We will explain the significance of generated scenarios of interest rate's movement for economic results of both life and non-life insurance companies. We will analyse presently known ways of approaching this matter and describe the selected models in detail. Taking into consideration the practical focus of this thesis, we will address the applied methods of model's calibration. Furthermore, we will employ these methods in an extensive numerical study, that will aim to reveal the weaknesses and strengths of particular calibration methods while implementing a specific model and to evaluate their potential application in actuarial practice. Central model of this work is CIR (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) model.
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