|
|
Lightning activity prediction using a numerical weather prediction model
Uhlířová, Iva ; Popová, Jana (advisor) ; Zacharov, Petr (referee)
Lightning activity is considered a severe meteorological hazard that needs to be studied, monitored as well as predicted. This thesis focuses on the prediction of lightning activity by the Lightning Potential Index (LPI) in the COSMO numerical weather prediction (NWP) model that comprises 1- and 2-moment (1M and 2M, respectively) cloud microphysical schemes. The objective of this thesis is to investigate the correlation between the predicted lightning activity and the detected one (by the European network for lightning detection EUCLID). Events of the years 2018 and 2019 that recorded significant lightning activity over Czechia are considered for the analyses. For the first time over Czech region, the prognostic values of LPI calculated for each event are verified. In particular, the spatio- temporal distribution of the predicted vs. detected lightning activity is evaluated. Both spatial characterizations and diurnal course of detected lightning activity correspond well to the theoretical knowledge. Thus, spatial (horizontal) and temporal approaches are applied to verify the lightning activity prediction. The results of this thesis successfully verify the LPI prognostic values both in space by comparing the LPI values with the proximity of detected lightning flashes, and in time by contrasting the...
|
|
|
Lightning activity prediction using a numerical weather prediction model
Uhlířová, Iva ; Popová, Jana (advisor) ; Zacharov, Petr (referee)
Lightning activity is considered a severe meteorological hazard that needs to be studied, monitored as well as predicted. This thesis focuses on the prediction of lightning activity by the Lightning Potential Index (LPI) in the COSMO numerical weather prediction (NWP) model that comprises 1- and 2-moment (1M and 2M, respectively) cloud microphysical schemes. The objective of this thesis is to investigate the correlation between the predicted lightning activity and the detected one (by the European network for lightning detection EUCLID). Events of the years 2018 and 2019 that recorded significant lightning activity over Czechia are considered for the analyses. For the first time over Czech region, the prognostic values of LPI calculated for each event are verified. In particular, the spatio- temporal distribution of the predicted vs. detected lightning activity is evaluated. Both spatial characterizations and diurnal course of detected lightning activity correspond well to the theoretical knowledge. Thus, spatial (horizontal) and temporal approaches are applied to verify the lightning activity prediction. The results of this thesis successfully verify the LPI prognostic values both in space by comparing the LPI values with the proximity of detected lightning flashes, and in time by contrasting the...
|
|
|
Lightning activity in the regions of MSC over Czechia
Arnoštová, Michaela ; Žák, Michal (advisor) ; Valachová, Michaela (referee)
Title: Lightning activity in the regions of MCS over Czechia Author: Michaela Arnoštová Department: Department of Atmospheric Physics Supervisor: Mgr. Michal Žák, Ph.D., Department of Atmospheric Physics Abstract: This bachelor's thesis deals with lighting activity and its detection in mesoscale convective systems (MCS) over the Czech Republic and adjacent areas. The first part describes the formation and development of MCS, electrical charge distribution inside clouds, types of lightning and their detection. The second part is devoted to five specific MCS that occurred in different time periods. Data of lightning detection network (LINET) are used to describe the characteristics of lightning, especially their temporal and spatial development, occurrence of different types of lightning and development of their current amplitude and altitude. Keywords: Mesoscale convective system, lightning activity, lightning detection
|
guest ::
