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Demografická charakteristika města Velké Meziříčí
Čižmariková, Žaneta
The topic of the diploma thesis is the demographic characteristics of the city of Velké Meziříčí. The main goal was to evaluate the demographic status and development of the city of Velké Meziříčí in the period 2005–2021. An analysis of the development of key demographic factors of the structure and dynamics of the population was carried out. At the same time, the development of the main demographic indicators was predicted until 2025, by calculating a regression analysis with a linear trend. Other methods used were the Webb diagram and the cohort-component method. The causes and consequences of demographic changes were also discussed at length, and finally, possible measures and recommendations were proposed. The main finding after the demographic analysis of the city of Velké Meziříčí was that the number of inhabitants in the city it is decreasing due to the increasing migration loss (average migration loss -2.8 ‰), which is higher than the natural increase (average natural increase 1.2 ‰). At the same time, the city, like the entire Czech Republic, is struggling with an aging population (the age index in 2005 was 80.5 %; in 2011, 103.4 %; in 2021 120.6 %). However, the finding was that this trend in Velké Meziříčí will decrease in future years.
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Moravskoslezský region population forecast to 2050
Papřoková, Petra ; Burcin, Boris (advisor) ; Šídlo, Luděk (referee)
Moravskoslezský region population forecast to 2050 Abstract The main goal of this thesis is to calculate Moravskoslezský region population forecast to 2050 and show how future population growth will likely be in the next decades. It includes a detailed population development analysis which is an important part of this thesis. Moravskoslezský region is still one of the most populous regions of Czechia, despite of natural decrease and negative net migration in past 21 years (except 2007 and 2008). Based on the analysis, we can assume that population decline will continue in the future and population forecast results confirm this hypothesis. Declining population size will be followed by significant age-structure changes in population and progressive demographic ageing. From the perspective of future population development Moravskoslezský region will face brand new situations and related problems. Keywords: population forecast, Moravskoslezský region, analysis of population development, age structure, fertility, mortality, migration, regional development, cohort-component method
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