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National Repository of Grey Literature 2 records found  Search took 0.01 seconds. 
Use of Bayesian Networks in Managerial Practice
 Rod, Martin ; Váchová, Lucie (advisor) ; Bína, Vladislav (referee)
The main goal of our bachelor thesis is to create a quantitave model which describes real biogas plant (property of company VOD Kadov) and its troubleshooting. Our created model has broad applications. It can be used as a support tool for managerial decision making either for biogas plant's malfunction or for its improvement. Secondly it plays a major role in quantitative clarification of inner links and processes which takes place inside the biogas plant. This quantification is done by Bayesian statistic approach via Bayesian network and its methods. For modeling purposes we exploit (leak) noisy OR-gate model and various methods for variable discretization. We heavily use company's data for model creation. With our model we simulated the run of biogas plant and its possible malfunctions. We also provided an easy step by step guide how to troubleshoot these malfunctions.
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Bayesian Approach in Managerial Decision Making
 Mošna, Ondřej ; Bína, Vladislav (advisor) ; Váchová, Lucie (referee)
This diploma thesis is about Bayesian approach in managerial decision making process. The goal is not only to quantify the principals used by managers during decision making in real situations but also the application of Bayesian methods on given examples. The mentioned principals are the probability updates after gaining a new information. In thesis are also described the computer systems which work with Bayesian calculations and a chosen system is described in detail. In a practical part of this thesis is demonstrated the use of Bayesian principals in real decision making situations -- there is demonstrated the use of Bayesian games, Bayesian networks (both classic and dynamic) and risk decision making process.
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