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Recommendation System for Bookmakers
Věčorek, David ; Svoboda, Pavel (referee) ; Kolář, Martin (advisor)
The main goal of this bachelor's thesis was to design, implement and test system, which would predict probable outcomes of sport matches and therefore valuable betting opportunities. System would work based on input of users in form of tips on the outcomes of the matches. To design such a system various techniques of machine learning and algorithms calculating user's rating, based on their performance were tested. Performance of the systems was tested on randomly generated data, simulating betting of users, with a questionnaire and on historical data of game K2mini1 on website kolemdvou.cz2. Based on the results of the testing weighted average system was chosen for implementation in form of a website.
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Odds betting as a form of pathologic gambling among adolescents
DOKULIL, Ondřej
The diploma thesis focuses on fixed-odds betting among male adolescents. In theoretical part, game as a whole life matter is explained, afterwards it aims closer to hazard game, especially fixed-odds betting. Regarding to children, multiple smaller studies, focused on risky behaviour on the internet and gambling, are introduced. Empirical part combines qualitative and quantitative approach. Interviews with betters jointly with the theory creates the base for hypothesises and questionnaire, which was distributed in five schools; three elementary and two high schools. Results of the empirical part are suggesting that adolescent boys have experiences with fixed-odds betting even though they are not of age. Frequently, the reason for betting is being involved in sport and the favourite form is on-line betting.
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Fixed-odds betting and real odds
Vojtík, Jakub ; Lachout, Petr (advisor) ; Večeř, Jan (referee)
The fixed-odds betting is currently very popular. Bookmakers set the odds on sport events, which represent an amount possible to win per each unit bet. The aim of this thesis is to study whether the odds can reflect the probabilities of the outcomes of sport matches, based on which then try to tell if the same can go for the bettors and their bets. First, there are derived several models for setting the odds. Then there is constructed a hypothesis test to test a validity of one of these models. This cannot be rejected, thanks to which there is estimated the dependence of the real probabilities on the odds. It turns out that with the exception of probabilities close to 0 and 1 the estimation might work. The conclusion of the thesis is the statement that odds could a be a good indicator of the probabilities and in such case also the bets of the bettors would correspond to them. 1
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Recommendation System for Bookmakers
Věčorek, David ; Svoboda, Pavel (referee) ; Kolář, Martin (advisor)
The main goal of this bachelor's thesis was to design, implement and test system, which would predict probable outcomes of sport matches and therefore valuable betting opportunities. System would work based on input of users in form of tips on the outcomes of the matches. To design such a system various techniques of machine learning and algorithms calculating user's rating, based on their performance were tested. Performance of the systems was tested on randomly generated data, simulating betting of users, with a questionnaire and on historical data of game K2mini1 on website kolemdvou.cz2. Based on the results of the testing weighted average system was chosen for implementation in form of a website.
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Fundamental analysis of Fortuna share
Mudroch, Matěj ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor) ; Hoffman, Andrej (referee)
The bachelor thesis is focused on fundamental analysis of the stock Fortuna. In three chapters the Company is analysed on market, industry and company level, the top-down approach is used here. In the first chapter the influence of chosen macroeconomic variables on the stock market is presented. The second chapter discusses industry factors that might impact the share price. In the third chapter the Company is introduced, the company factors are analysed and the Company is compared with its industry peers. Selected models for determining the intrinsic value of share are described and it is decided whether the share is undervalued or overvalued too. In the conclusion the investment recommendation to buy or sell the share is formulated.
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