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Uncertainty of Measurement Estimation of Mean Monthly Flows Values of the Selected Hydrometric Station at the Svitava River Catchment Area
Paseka, Stanislav ; Janál,, Petr (referee) ; Marton, Daniel (advisor)
Currently, a sizes of the time series elements of average monthly flows uncertainty are not taken into account in more detail and it does not know the estimation of their sizes. The above mentioned fact could ultimately affected the design and operation of large open water reservoirs. This bachelor's thesis deals with the uncertainty of measurement estimation of the mean monthly flows which have derived in the measuring profile Prostřední Poříčí in the Křetínka river in the Svitava river basin. Evaluation is done using a measured values of water level stages and a stage-discharge relation curve. The basis for design of uncertainty affected stage-discharge curves and water lavel stages the Monte Carl method is used. The outcome values of random flows are further evaluated using the statistical methods in the form of the statistical characteristics and presented as uncertainties of mean monthly flows.
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Uncertainty Analysis of Hydrological and Operating Parameters on Water Management Analysis of Reservoir Storage Capacity
Paseka, Stanislav ; Menšík, Pavel (referee) ; Marton, Daniel (advisor)
The aim of the thesis is to introduce the concept of Monte Carlo method for incorporating the uncertainties into the all hydrological and operational data inputs, which are needed to design and operation of large open water reservoir. Incorporating uncertainties into data inputs during calculation of reservoir storage capacity, then the consequent active conservation storage capacity is loaded by uncertainties. In the same way the values of outflow water from reservoir and hydrological reliability are affected by these uncertainties as well. For these kind of calculations the reservoir simulation model has been used, which simulate behavior operation of reservoir and is able to evaluate the results of simulations and help to reduction risk of storage capacity failure, respectively reduction of water shortages during reservoirs operation during low water and dry periods.
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Uncertainty Analysis of Hydrological and Operating Parameters on Water Management Analysis of Reservoir Storage Capacity
Paseka, Stanislav ; Menšík, Pavel (referee) ; Marton, Daniel (advisor)
The aim of the thesis is to introduce the concept of Monte Carlo method for incorporating the uncertainties into the all hydrological and operational data inputs, which are needed to design and operation of large open water reservoir. Incorporating uncertainties into data inputs during calculation of reservoir storage capacity, then the consequent active conservation storage capacity is loaded by uncertainties. In the same way the values of outflow water from reservoir and hydrological reliability are affected by these uncertainties as well. For these kind of calculations the reservoir simulation model has been used, which simulate behavior operation of reservoir and is able to evaluate the results of simulations and help to reduction risk of storage capacity failure, respectively reduction of water shortages during reservoirs operation during low water and dry periods.
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Uncertainty of Measurement Estimation of Mean Monthly Flows Values of the Selected Hydrometric Station at the Svitava River Catchment Area
Paseka, Stanislav ; Janál,, Petr (referee) ; Marton, Daniel (advisor)
Currently, a sizes of the time series elements of average monthly flows uncertainty are not taken into account in more detail and it does not know the estimation of their sizes. The above mentioned fact could ultimately affected the design and operation of large open water reservoirs. This bachelor's thesis deals with the uncertainty of measurement estimation of the mean monthly flows which have derived in the measuring profile Prostřední Poříčí in the Křetínka river in the Svitava river basin. Evaluation is done using a measured values of water level stages and a stage-discharge relation curve. The basis for design of uncertainty affected stage-discharge curves and water lavel stages the Monte Carl method is used. The outcome values of random flows are further evaluated using the statistical methods in the form of the statistical characteristics and presented as uncertainties of mean monthly flows.
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