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Relationship between the development of housing construction and GDP on the case of the Czech republic in the years 1995-2013
Hrabec, Pavel ; Sunega, Petr (advisor) ; Vebrová, Ludmila (referee)
This bachelor thesis deals with the relationship between the development of housing construction and the development of GDP in the Czech Republic in the years 1995-2013. The aim of this work is to prove or disprove the hypothesis that the housing construction can be characterized as overtaking indicator of GDP development in the Czech Republic. This goal is associated with the effort to expand the existing set of indicators overtaking economic cycle for better prediction of the economic crisis. To this purpose, the two time series are identically adjusted with mathematical and statistical methods in order to achieve the relevant comparison. Following comparison showed that the character of housing construction is largely countercyclical, so hypothesis was rejected. The observed relationship between housing construction and GDP is subsequently explained using stock-flow model DiPasquale-Wheaton on cases of economic recession and expansion. The result was that while the countercyclical nature of housing construction during the economic recession was caused by growing household demand for housing, in a period of economic expansion was caused by the growth of the construction costs.

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