National Repository of Grey Literature 2 records found  Search took 0.00 seconds. 
Trouble at the horizon: the 'new' twin crisis.
Durlinger, Koen ; Hnát, Pavel (advisor) ; Žamberský, Pavel (referee)
This research aims to explain mechanisms of the new twin crisis, the influence of such a crisis on European integration, and identify indicators that can predict such a twin crisis. First, the old and the new twin crisis will be explained and the necessity of this research will be elaborated upon. Hereafter, the main mechanisms of the new twin crisis will be identified based on a literature review. From this literature review a set of indicators, accompanied by certain thresholds, will be created that can indicate that a twin crisis is about to happen. These indicators will be used to analyse data from 1970 until 2015 to asses whether this new twin crisis has occured in the past and what its political consequences were. The constructed mechanism to explain the new twin crisis and the list of indicators will be put to the test by conducting an indepth case study of Italy and its risk of encountering a new twin crisis. Based on the model that links the new twin crisis to political consequences, the case study attempts to link the new twin crisis to the European integration project. This research will lay the foundation for the creation of predictive models for the new twin crisis and provide insights in one of the main destabilisers for European integration. It therefore establishes a set-up and lay-out for future research in this specific field.
German trade surplus within the context of the eurozone crisis
Morong, Martin ; Titze, Miroslav (advisor) ; Řežábek, Pavel (referee)
The thesis examines specific factors that influence the German trade surplus and how this surplus affected other European economies. The conclusions drawn from this thesis are that these funds are what primarily financed the current PIIGS account and amplify imbalances in the euro area which reflected in the balance of payments crisis. After Europe was swept by crisis, these capital flows suddenly ceased, causing insolvency of peripheral economies. The solution for the latter situation was an inflow of public capital, especially through the payment system TARGET2. The affected economies are currently undergoing internal devaluation while Germany continues to have a permanently high trade surplus. Attention is paid to the consequences and risks that arise from the persistent imbalance between Germany and other members of the EMU.

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