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Co znamená vysoká dovozní náročnost české ekonomiky
Drahomíra Dubská ; Český statistický úřad
Cílem analýzy bylo zjistit, jaký vliv může mít umělé oslabení kurzu koruny na dovozní náročnost české ekonomiky. Analýza se zabývá náročností vyprodukované nové hodnoty, resp. celé produkce, české ekonomiky na zdroje z dovozu. Porovnává tuto náročnost na dovozy a zboží do ČR, resp. pouze na samotné zboží, v evropském kontextu. Zjišťuje, jaký podíl z celkových dovozů připadá na další zpracování a úpravu (mezispotřebu). Podle toho usuzuje, jak velký může mít dopad vstupních podmínek, mimo jiné změn směnného kurzu koruny, na tyto dovozy. Citlivost na změny kurzu koruny v jednotlivých odvětvích jsou analyzovány podle toho, kolik zboží a služeb z dovozu samy spotřebovávají za pomoci input-output tabulek.
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Business tendency surveys in selected countries and their forecasting ability
Březinová, Eliška ; Fischer, Jakub (advisor) ; Dubská, Drahomíra (referee)
Business tendency survey as a part of expectations surveys should provide valuable information on the future evolution of the economy represented by the indicator of gross domestic product. The thesis contains a brief description of the Harmonized System of the Business tendency survey that is created by the European Commission and the OECD. The system provides advice and recommendation to member and non member countries of the European Union. The aim of this thesis is to compare models containing gross domestic product and the various confidence indicators compiled for the six selected countries of the European Union. Emphasis is placed on verification of the ability of each indicator to predict the evolution of gross domestic product. The thesis uses appropriate methods of time series analysis, especially cointegration analysis and VAR models.
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Construction of the composite leading and coincidence indicators for the Czech Republic
Zeman, Jan ; Fischer, Jakub (advisor) ; Dubská, Drahomíra (referee)
Gross Domestic Product represents the basic indicator of macroeconomic performance of the Czech economy and its importance is growing. The need to get the information on its development as quickly as possible for the necessary government actions is unquestionable, but the time taken to publish its first quarterly estimate of growth rate is significantly longer (45 days after the reference quarter) in comparison to other countries. The aim of this thesis is to attempt the construction of composite leading and coincidence indicator to estimate quarterly GDP changes, starting 30 days after the reference quarter. The methods of time series analysis, by which the relationships among GDP and indicators available in this 30-day period and possibly entering this composite leading, respectively coincidence indicator are analyzed, are used.
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Analysis of factors affecting labour productivity
Hájková, Marcela ; Fischer, Jakub (advisor) ; Dubská, Drahomíra (referee)
Thesis deals with the indicator labour productivity per worker in the various sectors of the economy, and analyzes two factors that affect productivity, defined as follows - the form of ownership and the highest level of completed formal education of workers. The first part compares labour productivity per worker and labor productivity per hour in the Czech Republic and for industries. Another part is devoted to the impact of the indicator public gross value added in the overall gross value added on labor productivity in terms of level and in terms of growth. In the last part is quantified the level of education of workers in industries using several methodologies, subsequently is discussed the impact of education on labor productivity.
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