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Prediction of Exchange Rate Movements on Forex
Balog, Miroslav ; Menšík, Jakub (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The thesis deals with the possibility of prediction of the exchange rate on forex. The combination of Elliott wave principle and Fibonacci numbers examines to what extent and in what time periods it is possible to predict exchange rate. The thesis use fundamental analysis and MACD oscillator to confirm the accuracy of this prediction.
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The Use of Artificial Intelligence on Financial Markets
Hortai, František ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
This thesis deals with the design of a model for trading on financial markets by using artificial intelligence. The work describes some methods of artificial intelligence, description of financial market and stock market trading. The result of this work is a model of an expert system which uses fuzzy logic for investing and a functional model for predicting the course of shares trends using artificial neural networks. Both models algorithms were designed and tested in MATLAB.
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Design and Optimization of Automated Trading System
Ondo, Ondrej ; Gancarčík, Lukáš (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This thesis focuses on automated trading systems for foreign exchange markets. It describes theoretical background of financial markets, technical analysis approaches and theoretical knowledge about automated trading systems. The output of the thesis is set of two automated trading systems built for trading the most liquid currency pairs. The process of developing automated trading system as well as its practical start up in Spartacus Company Ltd. is documented in the form of project documentation. The project documentation captures choosing necessary hardware components, their installation and oricess of ensuring smooth operation, as well as the selection and installation of the necessary software resources. In the Adaptrade Builder enviroment there has been shown the process of developing strategies and consequently theirs characteristics, performance, as well as a graph showing the evolution of the account at the time. Selected portfolio strategy has been tested in the MetaTrader platform and in the end of the thesis is offered assessing achievements and draw an overall conclusion.
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Automated Investment Strategy for Trading Selected Cryptocurrency
Melzrová, Anežka ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Luhan, Jan (advisor)
This master's thesis deals with an automated investment strategy designed for the cryptocurrency market. The selected cryptocurrency is characterized and analyzed. Existing automated investment strategies are evaluated and then a custom automated investment strategy is proposed. All the strategies are tested on historical data of the selected cryptocurrency and their contribution is evaluated.
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Trading on Stock Markets
Konečný, Pavel ; Smolík, Kamil (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The Bachelor´s thesis deals with the issue of stock market trading from a starting trader (businessman) point of view. There is a therotical description of the issue in the fisrt part of the work. Several AOS strategies together with business software are tested in the practical part. After adaptation, some of the strategies showed profit.The contribution of the practical part is the possibility to put the profit making strategies into practice. It also makes it easier to choose business software and other tools.
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Analysis of Bitcoin Virtual Currency and Prediction Model
Okruhľanský, Lukáš ; Koch, Miloš (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The subject of my bachelor's thesis is the analysis of Bitcoin virtual currency. Teoretical part of my thesis is about how bitcoin essentialy works, how it is technicaly implemented, safety issues, legal point of view. Applied part is dedicated to teoretical explanation of technical, fundamental and pychological analysis. In applied part I also analyse exchange prices of bitcoin from its creation until present day by using technical, fundamental and pychological analysis. Last part of my bachelor's thesis is making a prediction model based on fundamental and technical analysis.
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Algorithmization for decision support
Magda, Michal ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
The aim of this bachelor thesis is a strategy creation for bitcoin towards dollar (BTC/USD) on the MetaTrader5 (MT5) platform by utilizing programming language MQL5. The basis of the analysis is to import data from crypto-exchange into the MT5 platform, to program a special strategy based on technical indicators and to backtest the performance efficiency on the historical growth of the bitcoin value. Created solution provides a trading robot with simple access to the crucial parameters modification. Primal finding is the ability to predict the future value of bitcoin, evaluation and comparsion between the revenue and risk.
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Development of Automated Trading System for Commodity Markets
Hefka, Martin ; Andrle, Ondřej (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
This diploma thesis deals with theoretical and practical aspects of the commodity mar-ket. The automated trading system is designed and described there, which is focused on oil trades. The theoretical background as technical analysis, technical indicators descrip-tion or money management in trading, are described. The practical part of the thesis is focused on the analysis of oil market and the proposition of several strategies. These strategies are implemented subsequently to MQL4 language and tested on historical data.
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