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Analysis of Changes in Average Monthly Discharges until 2100 in Selected River Basins in Slovakia
Sabová, Zuzana ; Kohnová, Silvia
The paper is focused on the analysis of changes in average monthly discharges using MPI and KNMI climate scenario in the gauging station Liptovský Mikuláš (5550) in the Váh River Basin and in the gauging station Chmelnica (8320) in the Poprad River Basin. To achieve the results, the program Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration was used. Available data were, i.e., the observed daily discharge data, the modelled data from the rainfall-runoff HBV model, and the MPI and KNMI climate scenarios data were used to model daily discharges using the HBV model until 2100. Data were divided into four time periods, i.e., 1981-2010, 2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100. The results showed a decrease in average monthly discharges in the summer months and an increase in the winter months until 2100.
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