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Testing the success of technical analysis on the currency pair GBP/USD
Hubáček, Tomáš ; Vejmělek, Jan (advisor) ; Šíma, Ondřej (referee)
The aim is to build a business strategy that can be used for trading on the forex market. Success in the forex market is connected through understanding basic rules and terms. The main part is devoted to technical analysis, which is one of the oldest and quite popular views with examining the situation on the FX market. Technical analysis includes price action or indicators approach. The practical part describes step by step how to build a business strategy. It includes how to choose broker, timing, money management and the definition of entry and exit trades. Successfully prepared strategy is tested on real historical data. In conclusion, there is a business analysis and presentation of results.
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Analysis of stocks on the chosen branch of the Stock Exchange using the methods of technical and fundamental analysis
URBANOVÁ, Kateřina
The purpose of this thesis was to analyze selected sectors of the stock exchange through methods of technical and fundamental analysis and to find the most appropriate investment strategy based on the results. At first were subjected to corell and runs tests. These tests should have proven or disproven the existence of weak form of efficiency. In the fundamental analysis was chosen the method of comparation of alpha coefficient and average monthly revenues. The technical analysis tested of moving averages and monitoring the signals using oscillators. The last step was a comparison of investment methods and strategies, found investment strategy and made a investment porfolio.
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Comparison of basic characteristics (income, risks, degrees of effectiveness) in selected sectors and industries Stock Exchange
SAIKO, Michaela
The aim of this diploma work was to analyze a selected segment of the stock exchange market using the theory of market efficiency and the methods of technical and fundamental analysis, to form an optimal investment strategy on the basis of the findings. The American stock exchange market was analyzed. Six different segments of the capital market were selected ? gold, oil and gas pipelines, steel and iron, car parts, food and telecommunication services. Each segment was represented by eight companies. The general characteristics of the companies were compared according to their profits, degree of risk, alpha and beta coefficients. Fundamental analysis was used to monitor the correlation between future profits for 2012 and alpha coefficients for the period 2007 ? 2011. The theory was proven ? at low levels of future profits, high levels of alpha coefficients were measured and vice versa - at high levels of future profits, low levels of alpha coefficients were measured. During efficiency tests, runs tests and correlation tests were monitored. During runs tests, the number of turns of a real file was compared with the number of runs of a simulated file; no distinctive variances were identified in the monitored stock titles. Forms of market efficiency were proven during the correlation tests and runs tests. The methods of technical analysis used were sliding averages, RSI indicators and Momentum. Trading on the basis of technical analysis is not completely possible because we did not succeed in finding an existing optimal strategy. If an optimal strategy works out it is regardless of the segment?s characteristics. I recommend a passive strategy with regards to the fundamental analysis.
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Analysis of securities of selected branch on the Stock Exchange using the methods of technical and fundamental analysis
VOCHOZKOVÁ, Helena
The aim of this work was to analyze selected branch from the stock market through technical and fundamental analysis. The target is to formulate the most appropriate investment strategy for each sector. The starting point for selecting appropriate investment strategy is inefficient market hypothesis. Selection of the investment strategy, depend on the current economic situation. Based on given results, it is not recommended to use any of the strategies. However, it can propose a suitable investment portfolio. The selected investment portfolio is certainly dependent on many factors. Among these factors belongs the current economic situation and investor´s attitude to risk. Choosing an investment strategy is also influenced by the investor's own attitude to the theory of efficient markets. Investors will opt for active or passive investment strategy on the basis of their opinion.
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Analysis of securities to capital markets (inter-industry comparison of the amount and structure of each type of risk and return on the selected stock exchanges)
WEISSOVÁ, Kateřina
The main objective of this thesis is to analyze selected sectors of the European capital market by means of methods of technical and fundamental analysis. Based on the results obtained for each frame exchanges, industry sectors and the best investment strategy. The first part deals with the theoretical description of securities to capital markets, investment strategies, methods of assessment of the securities in the capital markets, the theory of efficient markets, market testing and evidence of their effectiveness. On the European stock market index, including the German DAX30 randomly selected ninety nine companies with data for the period 2006 {-} the 2011th The work on the basis of a confirmed capital market inefficiencies can be found active investment strategy to achieve above average returns.
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Assessment of the effectiveness of capital market and choosing the appropriate investment strategy
ŠTEGEROVÁ, Petra
The principal objective of this work is to test the efficiency of the U.S. capital market and to specify the degree of this effectiveness and then to find out the optimal strategy to evaluate the money invested into selected companies. At first there is theory description - the basic classification of securities, explication of the notion of efficiency of capital market, the methods of test the efficiency, several statistic indicators of the capital market like return average, standard deviation or coefficients of the capital market. Following this theoretical base there is create an analyse of one of the most popular capital markets in American index S&P 500 and of its sectors and some securities. Historical dates of years 2003 - 2008 are analysed and on the basis of results there are propositions which strategy to choose. There wasn't directly confirmed effectiveness of U.S. capital market in this work. So there was a possibility to choose an investment strategy to get an above-average return. The results were very influenced by the crisis since 2007.
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Fundamental and technical analysis of Telefonica O2 Czech Republic, a.s. share
Kálal, Tomáš ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor) ; Musílek, Petr (referee)
First part of this graduation theses "Fundamental and technical analysis of the Telefonica O2 Czech Republic, a.s. equity" concern more about the teoretical approach of the characteristics of the company Telefonica O2, his competitors on the country level as well as on the regional level. This description should prepare the reader to know better the telecomunication sector. The second part is a empirical study. Primarily from the fundamental approach and then from the technical one. These two parts concern about discovering the "buy" os "sell" recommendation for a real investor. Each of the methods are first described and then a brief comment of the results is made.
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