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Investor´s psychology on Foreign Exchange market
Obergruber, Petr ; Hubinková, Zuzana (advisor) ; Kočí, Ondřej (referee)
The topic of work "Investor's psychology on Foreign Exchange market" is to explain basic assumption for business on the Foreign Exchange markets and also methods how to profit on them. Work focus on soft factors, which are important in investor's decisions making process. These factors are typical for human's decisions, which are not always optimal from statistical and logical side, and may cause mistakes and investor's lost. The most important economic theories of client's behavior are used for conclusions. The major part of work foces on client as individual, describes his motivation, expectation, trade joining and risk adaptation. Theoretical data are participants of the research, which is based in two decision's making games. Conclutions are created from results of games and their comparison.
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Creating Forex trading strategy
Žák, Martin ; Tyll, Ladislav (advisor) ; Nováček, Jakub (referee)
The goal of this thesis is to take the reader through the whole, theoretical and practical, process of creating an investment strategy for Forex market. In theoretical part is the thesis focused on essential functional principles of Forex. Then it describes methods and procedures, which are important when creating business plan and backtesting. These methods and procedures are subsequently used in practical part, where there is shown the process of creating a trading strategy based on basic principles of the Tripple Screen system. The conclusion of this thesis is a created strategy prepared for real, live trading, which simultaneously proves, that it is possible to gain successfully and consistently profits from Forex trading.
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Proposal of the trading strategie for trading on the foreign exchange markets
SVOBODA, Lukáš
The goal of this bachelor thesis is to create a trading strategy for trading on a choosen currency market - Forex. First part of the thesis contains summarized information about currency markets, basic principles of technical analysis and basics of trading strategies and money management. Second, practical, part of the thesis consists of description of trading strategy with rules for money management and with rules for placing stop loss and take pro t. Last part is a de nition of backtesting rules, backtest of the strategy and the analysis of the backtest results with conclusions from the whole thesis.
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Optimalization of chosen Strategy on Foreign Exchange Market
KALKUS, Rudolf
The aim of the thesis was to optimize selected trading strategy in the currency market FOREX. For the optimization was chosen strategy Donchian 5 and 20 and was applied on currency pair EUR/USD. At first was performed backtesting, exit optimization, time optimization and found the importance of position sizing. Then the system was tested in paper trading at broker Admiral Markets, daytrading five minutes chart. Business strategy was optimized and is achieving positive results.
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Analysis of possibilities and methods of trading on the FOREX market for small investors
Zámečník, David ; Zámečník, Petr (advisor) ; Smrčka, Luboš (referee)
The aim of the thesis is to provide a structured description of methods of trading on the currency market which is currently developing extensively and therefore attracts even the small investors; unlike earlier when this kind of trading was favored mainly by large companies and wealthy investors. It can be difficult to orient oneself in this relatively new type of trading at first. That is why this thesis attempts to provide adequate and comprehensive techniques of approach to this type of trading. The thesis is based on basic methods that the investors in the FOREX market use. One fundamental part of the thesis contains practical examples from the real world market on which the issues of trading can be better shown.
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The usage of technical analysis on spot Forex market
Melichárek, Martin ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Blaheta, Petr (referee)
The subject of this bachelor thesis is to describe the various elements of the technical analysis and their practical usage for real trading in the international Foreign Exchange market. In the first part there is a characteristic of the market in terms of participants and their motivation and in terms of traded currency pairs. Next part is focused on technical analysis and development from its beginnings to modern graphical and statistical methods. Application of the assumptions of these methods to real data of the EUR/USD currency pair and the analysis of these results is the main goal of this thesis. Selected formations, oscillators, trend and predicting indicators are analyzed in detail and finally is outlined comprehensive analysis that links all these elements. The stated main goal is to find out whether we could rely on technical analysis in the prediction of exchange rates with an emphasis on speculative trading on Forex.
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The use of genetic programming in forex trading strategy development
Líbal, Petr ; Šimůnek, Milan (advisor) ; Berka, Petr (referee)
This thesis deals with trading strategy development on foreign market exchange (FOREX) from a perspective of technical analysis. A hypothesis that price data can be used for stable profitable decision making is analyzed. For that purpose, financial data preparation and derived indicators are described in detail. At first, strategies are randomly constructed. Afterward, they are improved iteratively by means of evolution principles. Genetic programming is used in particular. Special attention is devoted to fitness functon definition, on which the progress of strategies depends. Besides usual criterion - profit, other aspects are taken into account. Transactional costs are included in strategy evaluation. Costs have even been increased in comparison with declared values. Some of the best strategies are tested on data, which has not been used for their development. Obtained results did not support the hypothesis. However, process of a strategy search can be improved.
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Financial Crisis and its Impact on Exchange Transactions
Peroutková, Jaroslava ; Dvořák, Jiří (advisor) ; Kincl, Tomáš (referee)
This thesis presents market stock trading focused on analysis of financial crisis which falls on world's biggest exchange stocks and strategy of trading for a small investor. In the first part of this thesis will be explained priciples of trading on stock markets with modern trading business platformes. I explain economic conections and economy cycles which influence development of financial markets. In second part of thesis I analyse financial crisis fall on stock markets, indexis, commodities (gold, silver, brend crude oil) and currency markets (forex). I appreciate situation in Czech republik and course of czech index PX. Important role has a fundamental and technical analysis. I will analyse and descript modern trends of this business.
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Trading on forex market
Krčma, Matěj ; Pavlík, Zdeněk (advisor) ; Melcher, Ota (referee)
The bachelor thesis "trading on forex market" focuses on 3 main approaches to trading - in particular on technical analysis. At First it deals with history of the development of the monetary market and types of operations carried out in these markets. In the chapter concerning technical analysis is explaining various types of graphs and basic forms of traded formations. Such as: trend lines, supports, resistances, double top. The last part focuses on indicators, and in a nutshell psychological and fundamental analysis.
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The use of technical analysis in currency markets
Kašpar, Petr ; Taušer, Josef (advisor) ; Žamberský, Pavel (referee)
This thesis focuses on description of methods of technical analysis, characteristics of foreign exchange markets and it also mentions the efficient market theory. The aim is to use the knowledge of technical analysis to select one simple trading strategy and through its optimalization to discover a functional and efficient trading system. In order to enable followers to continue in optimalization, it is also described the optimalization process in detail with probable obstacles. There are also mentioned other different and possible ways for further testing of this strategy.
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