keywords:"Probabilistic model" - Search Results

guest :: login Digital Repository
		Search		Submit		Help		About

Home > Search Results: keywords:"Probabilistic model"

Search:

Search Tips :: Advanced Search

Search collections:

Sort by:	Display results:	Output format:

National Repository of Grey Literature	12 records found 11 - 12 jump to record:	Search took 0.00 seconds.

Probabilistic model for textile concrete reinforcement and comparison with experiments
Lomič, Jiří ; Rypl, Rostislav (referee) ; Vořechovský, Miroslav (advisor)
The scope of the presented bachelor’s thesis was the establishment of a probabilistic model for material strength of textile reinforcement used for textile reinforced concrete. This reinforcement is composed of AR-glass multi-filament yarns. The goal of this thesis was to determine the potential weak spot of the textile yarn and evaluate its strength in overall. The weak spot could have been a lateral cross-connection, which narrowed the textile yarn at several locations. Another thing of interest was the observation of statistical size effect with the increasing length of textile yarn. In order to properly fit the numerical model to real behavior of multi-filament yarns, five series of experimental tensile testing has been executed in laboratory. Each series consisted of 8-10 specimens and had a different yarn length. Maximum tensile force and maximum deformation have been measured to obtain L-D diagrams for each specimen. Measured data were statistically analyzed and gave the information necessary for the identification of probabilistic model parameters. This parameter estimation has been carried out with the help of numerical and optimization methods included in Python programming algorithms. The problem statement resulted in a combination of model parameters describing the textile yarn behavior. The statistical size effect was observed corresponding to the Weibull theory. The performed study showed that the failure of the textile yarn depends on material strength of its filaments. There are no load concentrators at the location of lateral cross-connections affecting the yarn failure.

Detailed record

Modelování přírodních katastrof
Zuzák, Jaroslav ; Zimmermann, Pavel (advisor) ; Masec, Frant (referee)
This thesis introduces various approaches to natural catastrophe risk assessment in (re)insurance environment. Most emphasis and further elaboration is put on probabilistic models in comparison to the standard model as proposed by Solvency II. The outcomes of natural catastrophe modeling play an important role in the design of proper actuarial models related to catastrophe risk. More specifically it is shown that they can be entirely understood in a wider actuarial context, namely risk theory. Within the Solvency II framework, probabilistic model outcomes are translated by means of the proposed decomposition methodology putting them into a similar language of the standard formula in order to create the ability to compare different results implied by either probabilistic model or standard formula. This enables both comparison of the implied dependence structure of probabilistic model to standardized correlations assumed in Solvency II, and scenario year loss factors of Solvency II to implied damage factors of probabilistic models in defined cresta zones. The introduced decomposition methodology is illustrated by flood and windstorm model outcomes calculated on exposure data of Czech insurance companies and compared to the respective standard formula parameters and outcomes. Finally, other applications of the proposed decomposition methodology are introduced, such as measurement of diversification effect or blending of different results calculated by different models or even approaches to natural catastrophe risk assessment.

Detailed record

Interested in being notified about new results for this query?
Subscribe to the RSS feed.

Digital Repository :: :: :: ::
Powered by v1.1.2
Maintained by

This site is also available in the following languages:
Česky English