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Government debt management practice in Central Europe
Martinec, Jan ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Štork, Zbyněk (referee)
The purpose of this thesis is to verify that the practises of debt management agencies in Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic are in accordance with the best practice based on international guidelines for public debt management. On the sample of Central European economies we can perceive new trends in public debt management that were enforced by growing public indebtness and its implications on fiscal health. These trends are particularly demonstated through proces of devoting the debt management institutions from the traditional position in the Ministry of Finance, through emphasis on achieving development of effective domestic securities market and the conception of long-term strategies based on risk management principles. From the comparison of the debt management practices in the selected countries it was possible to put forward a set of specific recommendations aplicable both to local and general conditions.
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Managing the exchange rate risk on the example of import-oriented firm
Garšicová, Beata ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Blaheta, Petr (referee)
The thesis describes the methods of managing the exchange rate risk for the firms. It theoretically characterizes the risk, the reasons for hedging and the possible strategies and hedging practices. It focuses on internal methods, as well as hedging with derivatives. It deals with the different types of exposures and their importance for companies. Practical part brings the example of a concrete import-oriented firm. The company has both economic and translation exposure which are described in details. Apart from that, the thesis brings some improvements in current hedging strategy of the company.
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The andantages and disadvantages of joining the EMU for the Czech republic
Tůmová, Daniela ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Petrušová, Martina (referee)
The aim of this bachelor thesis is to discuss whether the Czech Republic is well prepared or not to join The European Economic and Monetary Union. It also describes the advantages and disadvantages connected with membership in The EMU. At the beginning it describes The European Economic and Monetary Union and the process of its formation. It also pays attention to the Maastricht criteria. Their performance is necessary for becoming a member of the EMU. It deals with economic convergence between the Czech Republic and other members of the EMU. Another topic of this work is the current performance of the Maastricht criteria by the Czech Republic. .In the last chapter it focuses on the current economic situation in the Czech Republic and the current economic convergence to the EMU. Finally this work evaluates that in these days the Czech Republic is not ready to join the European Economic and Monetary Union.
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The management of banking system liquidity during financial crisis
Turjaková, Anna ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Plíva, Rostislav (referee)
The goal of this bachelor thesis is the analysis of the liquidity management of banking system by central banks with emphasis on the Federal Reserve System (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB). The first chapter deals with standard approach to the management of liquidity in the pre-crisis period. Two next chapters focuse on unconventional measures introduced by Fed and ECB in connection with the financial turmoil from 2007 to 2009, including causes that led to these measures. The conclusion is devoted to the comparison and the evaluation of the steps taken.
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Exchange rate prediction using fundamental analysis
Parmová, Jana ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Čermáková, Daniela (referee)
Bachelor project is focused on forecasting of exchange rate development. There are used basic economic fundamentals for this prediction: price level, inflation, interest rate and balance of payments. Models of exchange rate determination, based on these fundamentals, are introduced in the project. There are described concretely: purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, international Fisher effect and balance of payments theory. Validity of these theories is analyzed in practical part of this project. There are used economic dates from Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary. Analysis is processed according to methods described in theoretical part. Results show, that using of methods based on inflation or interest rate is incorrect. Balance of payment theory seems to hold, but prediction of exchange rate development through this method is very complicated. Central banks of analysed countries present in financial stability reports, that exchange rate is determined by a lot of factors. So it is very difficult to comprise the factors into one model.
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Methods of prediction of exchange rate and analysis of the exchange rate of selected country
Burdeláková, Ingrida ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Čermáková, Daniela (referee)
This bachelor thesis deals with possibilities of prediction of future development of exchange rate. The exchange rate is shortly characterized at the beginning together with approaches of its determination like technical and fundamental analysis. Further three methods of long-time forecasting like purchasing power parity, interest rate parity and balance of payments theory are explained in more details. Practical part begins with description of the euro and real development of its exchange rate to U.S. dollar from the implementation of the euro in 1999 till the end of the year 2009. The validity of individual theories from the theoretical part is verified through formulas and other methods based on information about inflation rate, interest rate and balances of payments. Results of selected approaches are summarized in conclusion together with suitability of their practical application and possible reasons of differences between theory and reality.
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Methods of hedging currency risks with application to small and medium enterprise
Hrbáček, Tomáš ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Blaheta, Petr (referee)
The bachelor thesis is primary focused on methods and possibilities of hedging currency risks, whereas in the second part this risks are specificated to currency risks of small and medium enterprises. The thesis follows theoretical separation of foreign exchange exposures to transaction exposure and economic exposure. The translation exposure is not mentioned, because is irrelevant in sector of small and medium enterprises. The thesis contains the outline of possible hedging methods of transaction exposure (external, internal methods) and economic exposure. Analysed subjects in second part are two czech companies from sector of SME, which were established in 1995 and are exporting to foreign countries. The first company deals with firewood, produces and completes clapboard's roof, the second produces blankets, pillows and fillings for sofas. The analysis targets the historical process of competitiveness in background of czech crown's appreciation, exactly to economic exposure. The companies are not hedging their transaction exposures. Finally, the thesis evaluates actual situation of foreign currency exposure and suggests possible solutions, e.g. establishing a new office in abroad.
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The Monetary Separation in the Czech Republic in 1993
Helísková, Pavlína ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Petrušová, Martina (referee)
This bachelor thesis focuses on the main aspects of the monetary separation in the Czech Republic in 1993. It analyses reasons, process and implications of the birth of independent Czech currency. At first studies an economic and monetary development of Czechoslovakia in the period 1990 - 1992 together with the changes in basic monetary indicators shortly previous the monetary separation. Characterization of the monetary separation including its legislative, organizational and technical background follows. Next part concerns with complementary activities, which go through the monetary separation, and discusses the development of the pivotal monetary quantities in consequence of the separation. The thesis is closed with a brief evaluation of the whole act.
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Exchange rate policy of China
Štursová, Lucie ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Ondřich, Libor (referee)
This bachelor thesis deals with the topic of chinese exchange rate policy. First part of this thesis describes the theory of exchange rates and their systems. Following parts are dedicated to China, the aim si to analyse the evolution of the regime of chinese currency renminbi from the inception of the People's Republic of China till the present, and read up effects resulted from the actual arrangement. The question of exchange rate reserves, economic growth and indipendence of monetary policy is also mentioned. At last, possible changes in chinese exchange rate system are suggested, namely the transition to more flexible system of chinese currency, and capital account convertibility of renminbi.
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