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Modelování vkusu na finančních trzích
Vácha, Lukáš ; Vošvrda, Miloslav
Heterogeneous agents model with the stochastic forecasts formation is considered. Fundamentalists rely on their model employing fundamental information basis to forecast the next price period. Chartists determine whether current conditions call for the acquisition of fundamental information in a forward looking manner rather than relying on the past performance. This paper shows an influence of the mood change on the financial market structure. This feature is simulated by changing of the forecast structure trend.
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Heterogeneous agent models
Vošvrda, Miloslav ; Vácha, Lukáš
The Efficient Markets Hypothesis provides a theoretical basis for trading rules. Fundamentalists rely on their model employing fundamental information basis to forecasting of the next price period. The traders determine whether current conditions call for the acquisition of fundamental information in a forward looking manners, rather than relying on past performance.
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Heterogeneous agent model with memory and asset price behaviour
Vošvrda, Miloslav ; Vácha, Lukáš
The Efficient Markets Hypothesis provides a theoretical basis on which technical trading rules are rejected as a viable trading strategy. Technical trading rules, providing a signal of when to buy or sell asset based on such price patterns to the user, should not be useful for generating excess returns. Technical traders and chartists tend to put little faith in strict efficient markets.
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