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Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 in selected Central European countries
Chlapec, Dominik ; Hulíková Tesárková, Klára (advisor) ; Kulhánová, Ivana (referee)
Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 in selected Central European countries Abstract The aim of this thesis is to compare excess mortality associated with the covid-19 pandemic in four Central European countries. The research focused on the years 2020 and 2021, during which the countries studies were most affected by the pandemic. Excess deaths and excess standardized mortality rates are used here for the international comparison. To calculate these indicators, it was first necessary to estimate the reference mortality levels, which were then compared with the recorded number of deaths and standardized mortality rates. Two models were used to estimate the reference mortality levels, which were based on weekly averages and Serfling's cyclical model. Based on these reference mortality levels, it was found that the highest increase of deaths compared to the expected number of deaths during the studied years occurred in Slovakia, while the lowest increase was recorded in Germany. Similar results were observed for other indicators, with higher overall excess mortality in Czechia and Slovakia and lower excess mortality in Germany and Austria. Differences in these results were observed when using the two different models. Keywords: covid-19, pandemic, excess mortality, Serfling model
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