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Real-time versus revised data in estimating the Taylor rule for the Czech Republic
Beňo, David ; Potužák, Pavel (advisor) ; Slaný, Martin (referee)
The main task of this paper is to analyze the differences between estimates of Taylor rule in real-time and with revised data. Estimates of the Taylor rule for the Czech Republic are compared. The source of data is OECD real-time database. The analysis shows that the estimates in real-time and ex-post vary significantly. The average deviation is equal to 0.9 percentage points. The main cause is the estimation of the output gap in real-time. Parameters of estimated reaction function also depend on the type of used data. The rule of inflation targeting or natural growth is more suitable for the use in real-time.

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