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National Repository of Grey Literature

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Central banks' voting records and future policy Horváth, Roman ; Šmídková, Kateřina ; Zápal, Jan Writers assess whether the voting records of central bank boards are informative about future monetary policy. First, they specify a theoretical model of central bank board decisionmaking and simulate the voting outcomes. Three different versions of model are estimated with simulated data: 1) democratic, 2) consensual and 3) opportunistic. Next, the model predictions are tested on real data on six countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States). Fulltext: PDF Detailed record

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