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The Use of Artificial Intelligence for Decision Making in the Firm
Volný, Miloš ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
This thesis is concerned with future trend prediction on capital markets on the basis of neural networks. Usage of convolutional and recurrent neural networks, Elliott wave theory and scalograms for capital market's future trend prediction is discussed. The aim of this thesis is to propose a novel approach to future trend prediction based on Elliott's wave theory. The proposed approach will be based on the principle of classification of chosen patterns from Elliott's theory by the way of convolutional neural network. To this end scalograms of the chosen Elliott patterns will be created through application of continuous wavelet transform on parts of historical time series of price for chosen stocks.
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Financial management of company on the capital market
Štíbal, Matěj ; MBA, Libor Stoklásek, (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The bachelor thesis deals with the proposal of processes for capital company management on the capital market, focusing on the appreciation of free funds. The free funds are valued using an investment strategy for the stock market, the results of which are interpreted on historical exchange data. A risk analysis and subsequent economic impact on the financial situation of the company is carried out.
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Halloween efekt na kapitálových trzích
Červený, Petr
The bachelor's thesis focuses on a market anomaly known as the Halloween effect. In order to fully understand this effect, the first part of the thesis explains terms related to the researched topic. Subsequently, the existence of the effect is clarified, where the author of the work relies on the theoretical starting points of scientists who have already investigated the effect in earlier years. The main goal of the bachelor's thesis is to identify the effects of the Halloween effect on different capital markets, namely on the stock, commodity and cryptocurrency markets, based on 2 analyses: ratio analysis of individual periods and regression analysis using the OLS method. Using the obtained calculations, an evaluation of the empirical research is subsequently created, which, together with a recommendation for investors in connection with the influence of the market anomaly called the Halloween effect, represents the conclusion of the bachelor's thesis.
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Reform of the Prospectus Regime
Illmann, Erik ; Kohajda, Michael (advisor) ; Kotáb, Petr (referee)
in English This diploma thesis explores the ongoing reform of the prospectus regime in the European Union. On 30 November 2015, the European Commission presented a proposal for a new regulation, which is to replace the current so-called Prospectus Directive. The primary aim of this thesis is determine the shortcomings of the current prospectus regime and to critically analyze the proposal in order to determine, whether it addresses these shortcomings and whether it improves the prospectus regime in general. The thesis consists of three main parts: the first introduces the prospectus, its characteristics and current regulation in the EU; the second explores and analyses the proposal itself and makes conclusions on the proposed changes; the third and final part explores the topic of prospectus liability and conflict-of-law rules. Based on the conducted research I arrive at the conclusion that the biggest issues of the current prospectus regime are the high costs connect to the preparation of a prospectus, inflexible disclosure requirements for certain types of issuers, ineffective retail investor protection and diverging implementation of the Prospectus Directive across EU member states. While the European Commission's proposal addresses most of these shortcomings and certainly represents an...
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Modern types of derivates and their reflection in positive law
Laga, Vojtěch ; Kotáb, Petr (advisor) ; Kohajda, Michael (referee)
Abstract/ Modern Types of Derivatives and its Reflection in the Positive Law The purpose of my thesis is to provide an introduction to modern types of derivatives and analyze its regulation in the positive law of the Czech Republic. The reason for my research is an absence of literature on modern types of derivatives in the Czech language, as well as the fact that the legal nature of derivatives remains still unclear. The thesis is composed of four chapters. Chapter One provides an introduction into derivatives in general. It deals with the notion of derivatives and classifies them as an innovative instrument of the capital market. It also tries to analyze various definitions of derivatives, and although it concludes that there is no ideal, all-encompassing definition of derivatives, existing definitions usually give fairly good idea about what the derivatives are. Chapter One further deals with the regulation of derivatives in the Czech law (importantly, its tries to rebut an opinion that derivatives fall under the regulation of hazardous activities), it focuses on economic function of derivatives (namely hedging and speculation), it explains and justifies the division of derivatives into "classic" and "modern" or "exotic" derivatives, and finally it describes the main types of classic derivatives and its...
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Exploring the Impact of Brexit on European Capital Markets and Tax Policies: A Comparative Analysis of Tax Reforms in European Countries
Yuan, Dian ; Svoboda, Karel (advisor) ; Bruno, Randolph Luca (referee) ; Váška, Jan (referee)
From the United Kingdom's Brexit on June 23, 2016, to the formal Brexit on January 30, 2020, there has been a large amount of academic literature discussing the possible effects of Brexit. Among them, the literature on the impact of Brexit on tax policy reforms and capital markets in EU countries is too numerous to enumerate. However, the current research literature lacks a discussion of Central and Eastern European countries, and there is even less research on the link between capital markets and tax policy reforms. This article assumes that the impact of Brexit on the capital markets of CEE countries will cause the government to turn to tax increases to increase fiscal revenue. Three hypotheses are proposed under this assumption. In addition, the empirical research in this article uses the combination of the Poisson model and the Heckman selection model to conduct regression research on the overall taxation of CEE countries, changes in direct and indirect taxation tax policies and bond interest rates, government changes, and political parties left or right. It is concluded that Brexit has no significant impact on the capital markets of CEE countries, and has not caused enough shocks that the government will turn to the government to increase revenue by issuing more tax increases. And Brexit...
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Buybacks to Bailouts: Firm Behavior and Implications for Financial Instability
Curran, Kevin ; Baxa, Jaromír (advisor) ; Dědek, Oldřich (referee)
Share repurchases reached a decade-high level in 2019, just as US equity indices reached a historical zenith, a move in tandem that supports more than merely a correlative relation. However, this relationship moves beyond that of just a close tandem move in indices alongside share repurchases, but to the behavior of firms which began to leverage themselves in order to promote the evermore profitable strategy of large buyback programs. Those repurchases indicate an idiosyncratic and procyclical leveraging that, while much smaller in scope and less combustible by lack of derivative amplification, led to the gorging on unsustainable debt described by Hyman Minsky and experienced in the Great Financial Crisis in the banking industry. In this case, the 'Minsky moment' that may have inevitably popped the self-promotion bubble came in the form of the 'black swan' event of the coronavirus outbreak. This paper aims to historically frame the issues, with delimitation of the effect of buybacks from 2009 to early 2020 with scant reference to historical factors influencing the increased usage of share repurchase programs. The analysis within this historical scope will reflect empirical measures on the market-wide level of share buybacks and debt levels alongside the concurrent equity index acceleration....
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The Use of Artificial Intelligence for Decision Making in the Firm
Volný, Miloš ; Budík, Jan (referee) ; Dostál, Petr (advisor)
This thesis is concerned with future trend prediction on capital markets on the basis of neural networks. Usage of convolutional and recurrent neural networks, Elliott wave theory and scalograms for capital market's future trend prediction is discussed. The aim of this thesis is to propose a novel approach to future trend prediction based on Elliott's wave theory. The proposed approach will be based on the principle of classification of chosen patterns from Elliott's theory by the way of convolutional neural network. To this end scalograms of the chosen Elliott patterns will be created through application of continuous wavelet transform on parts of historical time series of price for chosen stocks.
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Financial management of company on the capital market
Štíbal, Matěj ; MBA, Libor Stoklásek, (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The bachelor thesis deals with the proposal of processes for capital company management on the capital market, focusing on the appreciation of free funds. The free funds are valued using an investment strategy for the stock market, the results of which are interpreted on historical exchange data. A risk analysis and subsequent economic impact on the financial situation of the company is carried out.
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Regulation of Trading in OTC Derivates
Matys, Tadeáš ; Kohajda, Michael (advisor) ; Kotáb, Petr (referee)
This thesis addresses the current, ever-developing framework of rules governing trading in the most widespread financial instrument - OTC derivatives. The main objective of the thesis is to analyse the current state of the regulation of trading in OTC derivatives within the EU - namely, the EMIR Regulation. Subsequently, it examines whether the legal framework has been set up properly and effectively, and explores what steps should be taken in the near future in order to improve it. Given that the subject of this thesis is much more of an economic than a legal nature, its first part introduces OTC derivatives as a concept, and the specifics of trading in them. The second part examines the status of OTC derivatives within the financial market over time, starting from their modern-day beginnings in the 1990s, through their role in the global financial crisis of 2007 and 2008, to the current issues related to them. The main part of the thesis is devoted to the EMIR Regulation, its scope of application, and in particular the three main obligations which EMIR introduces in relation to OTC derivatives. These comprise, firstly, the obligation to perform a central clearing through central counterparties; secondly, the obligation to observe specific risk mitigation techniques for OTC derivative contracts...
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