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The Czech banking sector: Determinants of Profitability
Hykl, Daniel ; Pečená, Magda (advisor) ; Teplý, Petr (referee)
This thesis is concerned with Czech banking sector in 2015 - 2020 and its profitability. A set of bank-specific and macroeconomic variables is tested for profitability determination effects by a general profitability model estimated with system GMM, FE, and OLS methods, yearly and quarterly data are used. The results indicate negative effects on bank profitability of the following on both yearly and quarterly bases: capitalization, operational efficiency, and inflation change, and positive effects on bank profitability of the following on both yearly and quarterly bases: bank size and GDP growth. The thesis also analyzes quarterly changes in bank assets, liabilities, and equity. The results indicate systematic drops of liabilities and assets reported as of year-ends. Potential explanations are discussed along with suggestions for further research as this study presents a complex set of insights, results, and experience ready to be augmented with further efforts.
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Loan Portfolio Quality of Microfinancial Institutions
Koutná, Barbora ; Zetek, Pavel (advisor) ; Rajl, Jiří (referee)
The first chapter of this thesis is an introduction to issue of microfinance. This chapter is about characteristic, targets and social importance of microfinance loans and about birth and history where microfinance started to help and who is founder of microfinance. There is also describing of today's microfinance market, the distribution and characteristics every single microfinance regions: number of microfinance institution, gross loan portfolio and another main attribute for every region. The aim of next chapter is to review actual trends which are typical for microfinance sector. The most important trends are new products, separation microfinance institutions for profit and non-profit institutions, financial sources, rising regulation of microfinancial institution and changing quality of gross loan portfolio in time. The last chapter is about the quality of loan portfolio selected states from Latin Amerika and Asia where the impact of internal and macroeconomics variables to quality of gross loan portfolio is tested by regression model.
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Model of Risk and Losses of a Multigeneration Mortgage Portfolio
Šmíd, Martin
During the last decades, Merton-Vasicek factor model (1987), later generalize by Frye at al. (2000), became standards in credit risk management. We present a generalization of these models allowing multiple sub-portfolios of loans possibly starting at different times and lasting more than one period. We show that, given this model, a one-to-one mapping between factors and the overall default rate and the charge-off rate exists, is differentiable and numerically computable.
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Analysis of loan portfolio of selected Czech banks
Kupsová, Gabriela ; Dvořák, Petr (advisor)
This paper analyzes the loan portfolio of selected Czech banks. The first two chapters are theoretical. It describes basic characteristics of credit risk and classification of assets in the banking sector. The practical part deals with the structure of the credit portfolio of the banking sector during the financial crisis. The portfolio is analyzed from the sectoral point of view and in terms of risk of loans. Greater attention is paid to the claims of failure. The same procedure is applied on two large and one medium-sized banks operating in the Czech banking market.
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Dynamic Model of Losses of Creditor with a Large Mortgage Portfolio
Šmíd, Martin ; Gapko, Petr
We propose a dynamic model of mortgage credit losses. We assume borrowers to hold assets covering the instalments and to own a real estate which serves as a collateral; both the value of the assets and the price of the estate follow general stochastic processes driven by common and individual factors. We describe the correspondence between the common factors, the percentage of defaults and the loss given default and we suggest a procedure of econometric estimation of the model.
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Dynamic model of Loan Portfolio with Lévy Asset Prices
Šmíd, Martin
We generalize the well known Merton-Vasicek (KMV) model of a loan portfolio value in two ways: we assume a L' evy process of the debtors' assets' value (instead of the Gaussian one) and we model a dynamics of the portfolio value so that the debts may last several periods (instead of a single one). Our model is computable by simulation.
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