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Structure of the Invisible Hand: Hierarchy and Others
Vondra, Aleš ; Krištoufek, Ladislav (advisor) ; Kukačka, Jiří (referee)
This thesis explores theoretical underpinnings of one particular branch of current thought on financial market crashes. It is focused on stock markets, but the theory is applicable to forex and commodity markets as well. Through discovery of log-periodic precursors found in stock market prices in advance of almost all major crashes, we are led to search for possible abstract mechanisms leading to this phenomenon. Most prominent of these mechanisms is discrete scale invariance, which in turn is hallmark of hierarchical structure of underlying network. JEL Classification C16, C53, C58, C65, G01 G17, Keywords financial crashes, discrete scale invariance, log- periodicity, hierarchical structures Author's e-mail alesak23@gmail.com Supervisor's e-mail kristoufek@ies-prague.org Lenght of the thesis: 67 000 characters
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Structure of the Invisible Hand: Hierarchy and Others
Vondra, Aleš ; Krištoufek, Ladislav (advisor) ; Kukačka, Jiří (referee)
This thesis explores theoretical underpinnings of one particular branch of current thought on financial market crashes. It is focused on stock markets, but the theory is applicable to forex and commodity markets as well. Through discovery of log-periodic precursors found in stock market prices in advance of almost all major crashes, we are led to search for possible abstract mechanisms leading to this phenomenon. Most prominent of these mechanisms is discrete scale invariance, which in turn is hallmark of hierarchical structure of underlying network. JEL Classification C16, C53, C58, C65, G01 G17, Keywords financial crashes, discrete scale invariance, log- periodicity, hierarchical structures Author's e-mail alesak23@gmail.com Supervisor's e-mail kristoufek@ies-prague.org Lenght of the thesis: 67 000 characters
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