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Role ekonomického sentimentu v ekonomice zemí EU
Simajchlová, Barbora
This master thesis deals with the identification and quantification of the relationship between selected economic indicators and economic sentiment in EU countries. The literature part is devoted to the definition of the relationship be-tween economic sentiment and selected economic indicators. Econometric methods, in particular VAR models, impulse-response analysis and Granger causality, have been used to identify and quantify the examined relationships. The results showed that ESI has some interdependence with the selected economic variables and can predict their development to some extent.
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Quantitative Easing and its impact on commodity prices
Jakl, Jakub
;
Hurník, Jaromír
(advisor) ;
Potužák, Pavel
(referee)
The main focus of this thesis rests in the assessment of the quantitative easing policy impact on commodity prices and prices of commodity derivatives in the US. Several VAR models have been constructed in this paper to capture the relations between time series of monetary policy variables and commodity markets indices. The impulse-response analysis applied in the VAR models has discovered the causal connection between the QE policy and the value of commodity indices. The official announcement of initiation (extension) of the policy of the QE policy and its realization consisting of purchases of vast amount of treasury securities and federal agency debt and MBS has lead to the major commodity indices increase. Since this fact has been overlooked by Fed so far, its acceptance might enhance the realization of possible future QE policy and the valuation of the QE as a monetary policy alternative in conditions of zero-bound.
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