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Prediction of Exchange Rate Movements on Forex
Balog, Miroslav ; Menšík, Jakub (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The thesis deals with the possibility of prediction of the exchange rate on forex. The combination of Elliott wave principle and Fibonacci numbers examines to what extent and in what time periods it is possible to predict exchange rate. The thesis use fundamental analysis and MACD oscillator to confirm the accuracy of this prediction.
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Elliot Wave Detection
Kaleta, Marek ; Šperka, Svatopluk (referee) ; Petřík, Patrik (advisor)
This work deals with Elliott wave detection, which are statistical tool used to describe financial makret cycles and predict market trends. The work proposes methods to detect Elliott Waves and evaluetes them. From several methods of Elliott wave detection, Committee machines of multilayer perceptrons are used. Result of this work is a program, which detect Elliott impulse waves on input signal and builds hierarchy of Elliott waves.
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Application of Chaos Theory to Elliott Wave
Loukotková, Veronika ; Ondrová, Jitka (referee) ; Janíček, Přemysl (advisor)
This diploma thesis compares chaos theory with Elliott wave theory in order to find out whether there is an agreement in the area of prediction. Such formulation of main problem is considered original, new and pioneering issue. By solving an indirect problem of deterministic chaos, existence of the chaos was not proved in a respective time series. The possibility to predict future development of this time series in a short-term period was considered impossible with respect of chaos theory results. Nevertheless, subsequent prediction that used Elliott wave theory showed to be precise. Finally, agreement of both theories was not confirmed. The diploma thesis proved that knowledge of Elliott wave theory and ability to interpret it correctly is a valuable means of prediction.
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Elliot Wave Detection
Kaleta, Marek ; Šperka, Svatopluk (referee) ; Petřík, Patrik (advisor)
This work deals with Elliott wave detection, which are statistical tool used to describe financial makret cycles and predict market trends. The work proposes methods to detect Elliott Waves and evaluetes them. From several methods of Elliott wave detection, Committee machines of multilayer perceptrons are used. Result of this work is a program, which detect Elliott impulse waves on input signal and builds hierarchy of Elliott waves.
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|
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Application of Chaos Theory to Elliott Wave
Loukotková, Veronika ; Ondrová, Jitka (referee) ; Janíček, Přemysl (advisor)
This diploma thesis compares chaos theory with Elliott wave theory in order to find out whether there is an agreement in the area of prediction. Such formulation of main problem is considered original, new and pioneering issue. By solving an indirect problem of deterministic chaos, existence of the chaos was not proved in a respective time series. The possibility to predict future development of this time series in a short-term period was considered impossible with respect of chaos theory results. Nevertheless, subsequent prediction that used Elliott wave theory showed to be precise. Finally, agreement of both theories was not confirmed. The diploma thesis proved that knowledge of Elliott wave theory and ability to interpret it correctly is a valuable means of prediction.
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|
|
Prediction of Exchange Rate Movements on Forex
Balog, Miroslav ; Menšík, Jakub (referee) ; Budík, Jan (advisor)
The thesis deals with the possibility of prediction of the exchange rate on forex. The combination of Elliott wave principle and Fibonacci numbers examines to what extent and in what time periods it is possible to predict exchange rate. The thesis use fundamental analysis and MACD oscillator to confirm the accuracy of this prediction.
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