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Analysis of Financial Time Series in Crisis
LOPATÁŘ, Antonín
This bachelor thesis is focused on the methods of analysing an additive model of time series. The theoretical part is aimed on history of business cycle, structural and cyclic deflection and individual phases of business cycle. There are described individual theories of business cycle. Crisis as one of the phases is described closer. Further it introduces the methods used in practical part. The practical part contains analysis of individual time series. For example price of gold, LIBOR, PRIBOR, Gross domestic product and other. This time series are analysed by exponential smoothing, moving averages and other methods.

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