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Dynamics of Exchange Rates in Selected Emerging Markets in Risk-on/Risk-off Periods
Ivanov, David ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Šíma, Ondřej (referee)
This thesis focuses on exchange rates dynamics in Mexico, Turkey and South Korea. We examine the capital flow development in mentioned countries and currency dynamics of the Mexican Peso, Turkish Lira and Korean Won. The main goal of the paper is to evaluate the performance of these currencies in risk-on and risk-off episodes on a sample period from 1997 until 2016. We use analysis and comparison as a methodology for this paper, emphasizing on the relationship and causality between capital flow and exchange rates. We shall reveal that the examined currencies depreciate in risk-off periods and only the Korean Won appreciates in risk-on periods.
Importance and development of Chienese renminbi ceonvertibility
Mádle, Miroslav ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Obešlo, František (referee)
The subject of this diploma thesis is the analysis of the importance and development of Chinese renminbi convertibility. The paper describes the development of the yuan exchange rate, whose value is still largely decided by the PBOC. It also seeks to identify the growing role of the renminbi on the international scene despite its financial account that is still not completely liberalized. Last but not least, the Chinese trilemma is described here, with the renminbi convertibility being an integral part of this issue. Once China decides to solve the trilemma, one of the possible outcomes is the full renminbi convertibility. The paper also tries to identify the possible impacts that would occur in the event of the full renminbi convertibility.
Liquidity management of banks and other financial institutions
Hanzálek, Michal ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Obešlo, František (referee)
Diploma thesis focuses on liquidity risk management of commercial banks in the Czech banking market in 2002-2015. This main goal is achieved through a comprehensive analysis within a framework that uses several different methods. A theoretical framework for bank liquidity management is drawn up for a theoretical evaluation, summary of the current literature and a summary of the regulatory framework including the newly introduced Basel III requirements and indicators is put together. The research part is focused on assessing the development and current state of liquidity of Czech banks by analyzing of liquidity ratios and regression analysis of panel data. The level of liquidity and the size of the liquid pillow is judged to be sufficient and stable from the results of the individual analyses. The net position of Czech banks on the interbank market on an international scale also reflects a good level of liquidity. The major determinants of Czech bank liquidity in the period under review were mainly capital adequacy, bank size, loan portfolio quality, growth rate of GDP and interest rates.
High frequency trading and its impact on the financial market stability
Haushalterová, Gabriela ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Pour, Jiří (referee)
The thesis analyses high frequency trading, specifically its main characteristics, which make it different from algorithmic trading. Furthermore, the thesis looks closer into major risks, which are new to market, and their impact on market quality and other investors. The next chapter is dedicated to trading strategies, which are typical for high frequency trading. In conclusion, there is discussed the impact on the market quality caused by high frequency trading, namely in terms of liquidity, volatility and price discovery.
Vyhodnocení rozdělení Philips Group s pomocí finanční analýzy
Larionova, Ksenia ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Gevorgyan, Kristine (referee)
This thesis aimed to examine methods used to evaluate multinational and diversified firms and then use these methods to study the Philips Group and its decision to spin-off of the Philips Lighting sector. Although numerous methods and parameters used to analyze firms already exist, they remain very limited for multinational and diversified firms such as Philips Group or General Electric. In this thesis, hypotheses were based on the theory of the firm and tested using analysis of leverage, profitability and efficiency ratios. This study shows the difficulty of analysing multinational diversified firms caused by a very limited availability of data set. Thus, despite of a great number of ratios described in the literature, only a small portion can be in fact computed using publicly available data. Hypotheses were based on the the paper developed by Chen and Guo (2005). First hypothesis, based on the analysis of capital constraint was attempted, secondly the pace and directions of individual sectors were analysed using profitability and efficiency ratios and thirdly the stock performance was observed. All of this in order to examine whether the motive of the split was to increase the stock prices. It was found that Philips Group nor its Lighting sector did not experience capital constraints, nevertheless an important degree of underperformance amidst analysed figures was found, which suggested that Philips Lighting division was not as good in creating value for shareholders as the HealthTech division was. Moreover, the decision of Philips Group to concentrate on its HealthTech business was positively accepted on stock markets confirming the third hypothesis.
Evaluation of risk management and financial performance of BMW Group
Mysina, Amira ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Pour, Jiří (referee)
Effective risk and financial management possess a great challenge for the multinational companies operating globally. Despite the increasing development of diverse hedging strategies against foreign exchange risk, global firms cannot fully foresee and measure the degree of the impact of foreign currency fluctuations. This paper aims to evaluate the exchange risk management and financial performance of the BMW Group from the year 2005 to 2016. Moreover, this paper is devoted to provide explanatory information on the impact of foreign exchange exposure on the financial performance of the company by the usage of information provided by the annual reports. The first section of the paper establishes the theoretical concepts of risk management with emphasis on exchange rate risk and financial performance analysis, which support the following study. The analysis of the industry and BMW Group business operations worldwide, currency movement, detailed accounting examination, financial ratio, peer group, exchange rate exposure and hedging strategies are performed to examine the relation between the financial performance and foreign exchange risk management. The analysis reveals that the effective hedging strategies against the foreign exchange risk may substantially impact the financial performance and overall positioning of the company in the competitive environment.
Investment in Transmission Mechanism of Inflation Targeting
Kučera, Lukáš ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Slaný, Martin (referee) ; Mach, Miloš (referee)
The dissertation thesis is devoted to the topic of investment with emphasis on their position within the transmission mechanism of inflation targeting. It discusses starting-points of inflation targeting regime, individual transmission channels of monetary policy including their connections, and routes through which the central bank may influence the investment. There are analyzed selected investment theories and other theoretical models that are associated with the investment. Factors, whose changes may induce changes in investment, are derived using the intersection of these two analyzed aspects. They are variables, which flow from a theoretical analysis of transmission channels, as well as variables, that are not directly accented within these channels, but they can be affected by the central bank. Even factors, that are not within the competence of the central bank, are included among the variables. Using available data, sources of investment variability are verified on data for the Czech Republic. Basic empirical analysis of time series and correlation analysis are performed and the vector error correction model is compiled.
International capital flows during Federal Reserve's monetary policy normalization
Hrabánek, Tomáš ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Pour, Jiří (referee)
The text deals with monetary policy normalization in USA and its influence on cross-border capital flows to emerging markets. The first chapter provides basic economic theory of capital flows. Federal Reserve's monetary policy normalization is discussed in the second chapter, including its relation to international flows of capital. The last chapter analyzes monetary policy normalization influence on capital flows to three developing countries.
Mutual link between the monetary and exchange rate policy and economic development on the example of Romania and Bulgaria
Mleziva, Daniel ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Obešlo, František (referee)
This bachelor's thesis focuses on the possible link between the monetary and exchange rate policy and economic development. The first part presents basic theoretical aspects of monetary and exchange rate policies which are then applied to the case of two selected countries, namely Romania and Bulgaria. The practical part analyses the evolution of monetary and exchange rate policies in both countries and also follows the development of both economies with the help of several indicators. The objective of the thesis is to describe a possible dependence of the economy's evolution on monetary policy regime using the evaluation and comparison of collected data.
Correlation Analysis of various Asset Classes
Urbanová, Sabína ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Pour, Jiří (referee)
Bachelor thesis focuses on correlation analysis of various assets and construction of effective border and optimal portfolio. The thesis consists of four parts. First part describes main theories of portfolio selection and international investing. Second part is characterization of assets chosen for correlation analysis, concretely shares, bonds, gold, silver, crude oil, natural gas and property. In the third part I present correlation coefficients between assets. The last, forth, part is a practical application of correlation coefficients used for portfolio selection.

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