|
|
Fundamental analysis of share Volkswagen AG
Horváth, Michal ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor)
The bachelor thesis is focused on a fundamental analysis of shares of Volkswagen AG. In three main chapters, the concern is analyzed at three different levels - global, industry and firm level. Economy fundamental analysis examines the impact of macroeconomic indicators on shares. The industry fundamental analysis concentrates on industry characteristics and trends in the Euro area and the world. The main aim of the firm fundamental analysis is to determine the intrinsic value of shares. Finally, investment recommendation are formulated.
|
|
|
Assessment of the effectiveness of capital market and choosing the appropriate investment strategy
ŠTEGEROVÁ, Petra
The principal objective of this work is to test the efficiency of the U.S. capital market and to specify the degree of this effectiveness and then to find out the optimal strategy to evaluate the money invested into selected companies. At first there is theory description - the basic classification of securities, explication of the notion of efficiency of capital market, the methods of test the efficiency, several statistic indicators of the capital market like return average, standard deviation or coefficients of the capital market. Following this theoretical base there is create an analyse of one of the most popular capital markets in American index S&P 500 and of its sectors and some securities. Historical dates of years 2003 - 2008 are analysed and on the basis of results there are propositions which strategy to choose. There wasn't directly confirmed effectiveness of U.S. capital market in this work. So there was a possibility to choose an investment strategy to get an above-average return. The results were very influenced by the crisis since 2007.
|
|
|
Fundamental analysis of stock NWR
Dokoupilová, Markéta ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor)
The bachelor thesis deals with fundamental analysis of stock New World Resources N.V.. The company produces black thermal and coking coal. Thanks to its strategic location and high-quality rocks it is ranked among the most important Europe's producers. The Company listed on the London, Prague and Warsaw stock exchanges in mid-2008. The bachelor thesis analyses three basic parts of fundamental analysis, which are global, industry and company analysis.
|
|
|
The effectiveness of chosen fundamental analysis methods on a sample of stocks
John, Jaroslav ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor) ; Vorek, Marián (referee)
The diploma thesis deals with the effectiveness of chosen fundamental analysis valuation methods on a sample of stocks. The sample consists of stocks traded on the Prague Stock Exchange and on the New York Stock Exchange. The Czech part of the sample consists of stocks of ČEZ, Erste Group Bank, Komerční banka, Philip Morris ČR and Telefónica O2. The American part of the sample includes stocks of Coca Cola, General Electric, Intel, Southern Company and Bank of America. These stocks are valued by dividend discount models and cash-flow models stepwise to the end of the years 2005 and 2006. As regards the dividend models, the Gordon model, the three-stage model and the H-model are applied whereas within the cash-flow models the DCF equity method was chosen. The effectiveness of the valuation process was subsequently tested over the course of three years by comparing the particular stock returns and the returns of the market portfolio represented by market index. The evaluation of effectiveness is then done in terms of the absolute, the relative and the portfolio effectiveness.
|
|
|
Fundamental and technical analysis of real estate stocks on the Prague Stock Exchange
Petr, Michal ; Musílek, Petr (advisor) ; Veselý, Marek (referee)
Thesis combines two approaches towards stock analysis, fundamental and technical analysis. Prime objective is to present main instruments of both analysis techniques. At first there is presented theory of both, fundamental and technical analysis. Under the fundamental section there are presented global and sector factors that influence prices of stocks. Section of technical analysis starts with historical overview, followed by graphical analysis and technical indicators. Second part consists of the application of chosen methods of fundamental and technical analysis. There are plenty of graphs and practical examples within the application section to support theoretical principles.
|
|
|
Exchange rate prediction using fundamental analysis
Parmová, Jana ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Čermáková, Daniela (referee)
Bachelor project is focused on forecasting of exchange rate development. There are used basic economic fundamentals for this prediction: price level, inflation, interest rate and balance of payments. Models of exchange rate determination, based on these fundamentals, are introduced in the project. There are described concretely: purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, international Fisher effect and balance of payments theory. Validity of these theories is analyzed in practical part of this project. There are used economic dates from Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary. Analysis is processed according to methods described in theoretical part. Results show, that using of methods based on inflation or interest rate is incorrect. Balance of payment theory seems to hold, but prediction of exchange rate development through this method is very complicated. Central banks of analysed countries present in financial stability reports, that exchange rate is determined by a lot of factors. So it is very difficult to comprise the factors into one model.
|
|
|
Methods of prediction of exchange rate and analysis of the exchange rate of selected country
Burdeláková, Ingrida ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Čermáková, Daniela (referee)
This bachelor thesis deals with possibilities of prediction of future development of exchange rate. The exchange rate is shortly characterized at the beginning together with approaches of its determination like technical and fundamental analysis. Further three methods of long-time forecasting like purchasing power parity, interest rate parity and balance of payments theory are explained in more details. Practical part begins with description of the euro and real development of its exchange rate to U.S. dollar from the implementation of the euro in 1999 till the end of the year 2009. The validity of individual theories from the theoretical part is verified through formulas and other methods based on information about inflation rate, interest rate and balances of payments. Results of selected approaches are summarized in conclusion together with suitability of their practical application and possible reasons of differences between theory and reality.
|
|
|
Fundamental analysis of stock Erste Bank
Mikulková, Markéta ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor)
The bachelor thesis is focused on Fundamental analysis of stock Erste Bank. In the first chapter I analyze the impact of macroeconomic indicators to stock prices and I try to forecast their values in the future. The second chapter is devoted to analysis of the banking sector, first in the European Union, then Czech stock market. The third chapter is concentrated on the calculation of intrinsic value of stocks Erste Bank from which I conclude the best investment recommendation.
|
|
|
Fundamental and Technical Analysis of Komerční banka, a.s.
Pospišová, Zuzana ; Veselá, Jitka (advisor) ; Kubík, Jan (referee)
Diploma thesis focuses on fundamental and technical analysis of the stock Komerční banka, a.s. The aim of the work is to applicate techniques of both analyses and prepare investvment recommendations according to acquired results. This work also provides theoretical background of particular analyses and applied methods. The first chapter contains global fundamental analysis supplemented by analysis of relations between main factors and index PX using correlation coefficient. Another two chapters deal with sector analysis and calculation of intrinsic value of the stock. The last chapter is devoted to technical analysis using chart's methods and methods based on technical indicators.
|
|
|
Evaluation of success chosen methods fundamental analysis in time
Zach, František ; Musílek, Petr (advisor) ; Stádník, Bohumil (referee)
The principal aim of this thesis is to characterize and test several method of fundamental analysis in time. The introductory part deals with principle of other approaches to stock analysis (technical analysis, psychological analysis, efficient markets theory). The following part is focused on fundamental analysis. Here are discussed the main factors that have impact on stock at the global level, sectoral level and at the level of the firm. Last part deals with determination of the intrinsic value of the stock with use of chosen models. These models are subsequently tested in time and rated.
|
guest ::
