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Matematické modelování spotřeby zemního plynu zákazníků bez pruběhového měření
Čermáková, J. ; Bečvář, J. ; Naxerová, O. ; Brabec, Marek ; Brabec, Tomáš ; Konár, Ondřej ; Malý, Marek ; Musílek, Petr ; Pelikán, Emil ; Šimůnek, Milan ; Vondráček, Jiří
Understanding consumption behavior of customers is essential for natural gas distribution and trading companies. For large customers, consumption is measured daily or, at least, monthly. However, meter readings are taken and consequently billed in approximately 12-month intervals in small commercial and resident sectors. This period is too long with respect to the needs of gas companies. Furthermore, the companies have to estimate unbilled revenues at the end of an accounting period. Thus, there is a strong interest in mathematical modeling of the consumption patterns as a basis of such estimates. This paper discusses requirements for unbilled revenues estimation, and summarizes experience with mathematical model GAMMA used by West Bohemian Gas Distribution Company in Pilsen, Czech Republic. In addition, plans for further development of model GAMMA are presented in connection with a research grant awarded by the Grant Agency of the Academy of Science of the Czech Republic.
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