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The Assessment of the Efficiency of the Stock Market and Selecting the Appropriate Investment Strategy
KASANDA, Jan
This diploma thesis aims at assessing stock market efficiency using seventeen shares and stock index S&P 500 which represents whole market. Selected shares were traded using several tools from technical analysis from 2012 to 2016. Trading is based on buy / sell signals. These signals were generated by 38 automatic trading strategies, created from crossing rates and sliding averages, by crossing two different sliding averages and based on technical indicators MACD, RSD and Momentum. Theoretical part of this work is dedicated to capital market, stock market efficiency assessment, shares and different types of analysis, mainly to technical. Results of stock market efficiency assessment of finances when trading all tested strategies can be found in the practical part. Random movements of rates were proven, this implies that market is slightly effective. Best trading strategy cannot be determined, because there are too many factors influencing results. Passive strategy achieved better profit. According to complete average results, MACD a 50+200EMA has highest success rate. Least appropriate strategies were MACD+SL and RSI_30+70_2. The worst shares for active trading were EBS and MRK, best LCI, ABC and VRX.
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Available Financial Sources of Enterprise and Their Evaluation in Trading in the Stock Markets
KASANDA, Jan
My thesis is dedicated to the evaluation of available financial sources of enterprise traded in the stock market. Three kinds of foreign shares are traded in the stock market using some instruments of technical analysis. The trading in the stock market took place in a period of three years (from 2013 to the end of the year 2015). The technical analysis is applied to the historical closing prices of individual stocks. The technical indicators are used to generate buying and selling signals. For trading with share I have chosen the indicators: RSI, Momen-tum and MACD and I have chosen shares of Apple Inc., Allianz and BMW Group. In the theoretical part of my bachelor thesis I describe and explain key words such as Capital market, shares, Joint-Stock company, government bond, tools of financial market and types of analysis. In this part I deal with the types of analysis, especially technical analysis and three chosen technical indicators. The main aim of my thesis is the comparison of the effectiveness of used methods and amount of generated buying and selling signals. These methods are being used to maximize profits. The evaluations of shares are compared with the evaluations of the investments of free sources into government bonds and to a term deposit. According to my results it is not possible to choose the best trading method, because there are many circumstances which is the choice influenced by. The worst indicator of the compared ones is MACD. With Relative strength index I have achieved only trading profit. Most buying and selling signals generated the indicator Momentum. If I should recommend you one of these indicators, I would recommend the indicator RSI.
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