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Characteristics of rainfall in observed data and regional climate model simulations
Svoboda, Vojtěch
;
Pech, Pavel
(advisor) ;
Josef, Josef
(referee)
Precipitation in the form of heavy rainfall events is of significant societal concern, not only due to the potential for more frequent flash floods, after evidence of changes in rainfall characteristics has recently strengthened. Despite the importance of individual rainfall events with respect to many hydrological applications, only a few studies dealt with characteristics of individual rainfall events (in contrast with the other daily/sub-daily indices of rainfall depths/intensities). Dissertation thesis presents a comprehensive analysis of heavy rainfall event characteristics for the Czech Republic derived from observed data and large ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) simulations. In addition, spatial correlation structure of observed rainfall data at a mesoscale region of north-eastern Bohemia was analysed. Since an RCM grid box represents a spatial average rather than a point measurement, the effects from areal averaging of rainfall data on characteristics of events were investigated considering the observed data. Characteristics of rainfall events were evaluated according to several indices against the at-site and area-averaged observed data for the control period 1981-2000. The changes of rainfall event characteristics were assesed over two scenario periods (2020-2049 and 2070-2099) with respect to control period. We analysed also relations between changes in simulated rainfall event characteristics and changes in radiative forcing and temperature.
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