Název: Reemployment is not recovery: automation and task-specific human capital
Autoři: Hansak, Alexander
Typ dokumentu: Výzkumné zprávy
Rok: 2026
Jazyk: eng
Edice: CERGE-EI Working Paper Series, svazek: 822
Abstrakt: This paper develops a quantitative task-based model of automation in which firms choose an endogenous automation cutoff and workers reallocate across frictional task-specific labor markets. Tasks differ in automation suitability, and workers carry task-specific human capital that is only imperfectly portable after displacement. The model is calibrated to a quarterly U.S. economy and used to study automation-productivity shocks, task-ladder shifts with new-task creation, and repeated automation waves. Across experiments, automation raises long-run output and does not generate permanent unemployment. Its main cost is instead transitional and distributional: workers at the old automation frontier are reemployed quickly, but suffer persistent human-capital losses when reallocation occurs through unemployment and into distant tasks. New tasks reinstate labor demand in the long run, but only after vacancies are posted and employment is rebuilt. Policy experiments show that skill-transfer programs reduce productive scarring, while unemployment insurance provides consumption insurance but leaves human-capital losses largely unchanged.
Klíčová slova: automation; task reallocation; task-specific human capital
Číslo projektu: EH23_025/0008693
Poskytovatel projektu: GA MŠk

Instituce: Národohospodářský ústav AV ČR (web)
Informace o dostupnosti dokumentu: Dokument je dostupný na externích webových stránkách.
Externí umístění souboru: https://www.cerge-ei.cz/pdf/wp/Wp822.pdf
Původní záznam: https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0379727

Trvalý odkaz NUŠL: http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-778757


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