National Repository of Grey Literature 117 records found  1 - 10nextend  jump to record: Search took 0.01 seconds. 
Global Economic Outlook - September 2017
Česká národní banka
The September issue of Global Economic Outlook presents the regular monthly overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories, focusing on key economic variables: inflation, GDP growth, leading indicators, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices. In this issue, we also look at the real exchange rate phenomenon from the perspective of what it tells us about EU countries. The real exchange rate reflects movements in both the nominal exchange rate and relative price levels. This means it can be used, for example, to assess a country’s convergence efforts (towards the core euro area countries), to discuss the central bank’s effect on the distribution of real appreciation (between the nominal exchange rate and the inflation differential channels) and to track the external competitiveness of an EU economy, and hence also the euro area. This is the line followed by our article, which examines the period from the establishment of the euro area in 1999 to the present.
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Global Economic Outlook - August 2017
Česká národní banka
The August issue of Global Economic Outlook presents the regular monthly overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories, focusing on key economic variables: inflation, GDP growth, leading indicators, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices. In this issue, we continue our summer mini-series on the economic impacts of Brexit on the United Kingdom. In the July issue, we focused on the short-term effects, whereas this issue summarises the conclusions of the most important studies analysing Brexit from the longer-term perspective. These studies concur that the UK economy will lose out by leaving the EU, a prediction that is gradually being confirmed by actual economic developments. However, it is still difficult to estimate the real extent of the economic impacts of Brexit, as it will depend primarily on the terms negotiated between the UK and the EU. In our analysis, we therefore present the main possible scenarios quantifying how much the UK will pay for Brexit in terms of loss of GDP.
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Central Bank Monitoring - September 2008
Česká národní banka
The past three months have seen the financial crisis subsiding only slowly, as well as corrections to the prices of oil and some agricultural commodities. In Spotlight we take a look at the importance of house prices for monetary policy and their practical treatment in some central banks. Our selected speech is RBNZ Governor Alan Bollard’s address on flexibility and the limits of inflation targeting.
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Centralized public procurement by municipalities
Škvařilová, Karolina ; Sedmihradská, Lucie (advisor) ; Tománková, Ivana (referee)
Public procurement, as a form of public purchases of goods and services through the private sector, is still an actual topic. The government expenditures that are related to procurement are regulated by the European Union to save public spending, for example by using centralized procurement. This thesis is focused on a concrete, centralized public procurement called, Provision of mobile electronic communication services, in which the capital city of the Czech republic, Prague, acts as a central contracting authority and the city districts of Prague act as subordinate contracting authorities. There is a characteristic of public procurement through a centralized method and based on the case study of the city districts of the capital city of Prague identifying the advantages and disadvantages of using this method and formulating recommendations to the central contracting authority for higher success of the future public procurement.
Global Economic Outlook - July 2017
Česká národní banka
The July issue of Global Economic Outlook presents the regular monthly overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories, focusing on key economic variables: inflation, GDP growth, leading indicators, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices. In this and the following August issue, we also focus on one of the main current economic phenomena – Brexit. At the end of June, a year elapsed since the referendum in which the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. In both articles we focus on assessing this decision’s economic impacts on the UK. The July issue is devoted to the short-term effects. It is apparent from a whole range of indicators that the conclusions of the many studies that warned of a negative Brexit shock for the UK economy are gradually materialising – from the initial visible nervousness of the financial markets, through the announcement of the referendum, to creeping and gradual impacts on the real economy. The final form of the terms negotiated with EU institutions will decide whether these impacts will be short-or long-term. This aspect – along with possible medium-term outlooks – will be the subject of a follow-up article in the August issue.
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Global Economic Outlook - June 2017
Česká národní banka
The June issue of Global Economic Outlook presents the regular monthly overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories, focusing on key economic variables: inflation, GDP growth, leading indicators, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices. In this issue, we also focus on assessing of the accuracy of the forecasts for 2016 published in Global Economic Outlook last year and the year before. The institutions under comparison were moderately optimistic with their economic outlooks. Their forecasts for GDP growth and inflation for 2016 expected higher figures on average than the subsequent outcomes. The outlooks for nominal interest rates in the USA and the euro area were also overestimated. The dollar did not appreciate against other currencies as much as expected by analysts. The price of oil was also mostly overestimated compared to the actual outcome.
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The use of technical analysis to determine the prices of energy commodities
Kopunec, Kristián ; Pěcha, Jiří (referee) ; Radil, Lukáš (advisor)
This work is focused on the problems of technical analysis and the technical indicators themselves. It deals with trends, graphs and formation issues. It clarifies them individually. It focuses on technical indicators. It deals in particular with price indicators that are key to selecting the appropriate key method. Using available information from OTE. The selected indicator is counted and then applied to a suitable commodity. The role of the work is to predict the market development using technical indicators and to evaluate the possibilities of the given indicator.
Global Economic Outlook - May 2017
Česká národní banka ; Sekce měnová ; Odbor vnějších ekonomických vztahů
The May issue of Global Economic Outlook presents the regular monthly overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories, focusing on key economic variables: inflation, GDP growth, leading indicators, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices. In this issue, we focus on the question of whether the oil market is approaching equilibrium. We consider in more detail, among other things, the behaviour of OPEC and US shale oil producers observed over the last three years. We also attempt to identify the causes of occasional sharp swings in oil prices.
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Global Economic Outlook - April 2017
Česká národní banka ; Sekce měnová ; Odbor vnějších ekonomických vztahů
The April issue of Global Economic Outlook presents the regular monthly overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories, focusing on key economic variables: inflation, GDP growth, leading indicators, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices. In this issue, we also discuss the risks to global economic growth in the medium term. Global growth is currently being threatened above all by non - economic factors (environmental risks, large - scale migration, terrorism). Economic risks may continue to hinder world growth, but they no longer dominate the global risks in the way they did immediately after the global crisis broke out.
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Global Economic Outlook - March 2017
Česká národní banka ; Sekce měnová ; Odbor vnějších ekonomických vztahů
The March issue of Global Economic Outlook presents the regular monthly overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories, focusing on key economic variables: inflation, GDP growth, leading indicators, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices. In this issue, we then focus analytically on the monetary and fiscal policy response space in OECD countries. The article shows that nominal interest rates are still expected to be very low over the medium term. This is inconsistent with the process of closing output gaps and attaining inflation rates close to 2%, making a return to conventional interest - rate policy more difficult. Our article also notes that the return to positive real interest rates will be complicated by the overleveraging of many OECD countries, as a visible rise in interest rates could increase the risk of insolvency of several euro area countries and trigger the feared domino effect.
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