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The impact of foreign exchange intervetion of CNB on international trade of Czech Republic
 Mikšík, Matěj ; Chytil, Zdeněk (advisor) ; Kadeřábková, Božena (referee)
The goal of this thesis is to analyze the impact of currency depreciation caused by foreing exchange intervention of Czech National Bank in November 2013 on international trade between Czech Republic and Germany. The volume of foreign trade of Czech Republic has been growing, but Czech Republic gradually loses commercial potential. The standart view of the impact of foreign exchange intervention is to stimulate export. But the theoretical concept called J-curve states that currency depreciation leads at first to the decrease of net export in the short run. To increase net export the Marshall-Lerner condition has to be met. The work verifies the hypothesis that after foreign exchange intervention the decrease of net export occurs before improving. Research uses cointegration analysis and Error correction model on the basis of quarter data from the first quarter of year 2005 to the second quarter of year 2014. The results confirms the concept of J-Curve in the bilateral trade of Czech Republic and Germany. In the first two quarters after foreign exchange intervention there is the decrease in net export. The Marshall-Lerner condition is met during the second quarter and the depreciation of the crown leads to the expected growth in net export.
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