National Repository of Grey Literature 226 records found  beginprevious133 - 142nextend  jump to record: Search took 0.01 seconds. 
U.S. Monetary Policy and Bank Liquidity Creation: VAR Evidence
Lacko, Branislav ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Žigraiová, Diana (referee)
With recent financial crisis the importance of liquidity not only as indicator of financial health of banks heightened. Thus this thesis aims the focus to relationship between real economy and bank liquidity creation, and provides empirical evidence of significant relationship between bank liquidity creation and GDP or inflation. Moreover, it shows that implementation of bank liquidity creation indicator into Taylor rule, in order to address for financial stability and health, is suitable alternative for financial stress index.
Exchange Rate Pass - Through to Domestic Prices: The Case of the Czech Republic
Hájek, Jan ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Benčík, Daniel (referee)
In this thesis, we examine the exchange rate pass-through phenomenon in the Czech Re- public over 1998:1-2014:1 period. As our vector autoregression results indicate, short-term pass-through effect slowed down and prolongated its duration substantially. Consequently, the accumulated value to be transmitted increased compared to previous findings. In the case of exchange rate pass-through effect to CPI, the accumulated response after 18 months accounts for about 40-60 per cent. In this regard, our time-varying results using unique Chebyshev Time Polynomials points to period 2008-2014 to be the leading cause. It seems that during macroeconomically less stable periods the exchange rate pass-through in the Czech Republic tends to increase. Even though the consensus on the pass-through lev- els and its development over time is rather scarce, we find support for our conclusions. More interestingly, having in mind November's currency interventions of the Czech Na- tional Bank to weaken koruna (and thus avoiding deflation), our results reveal that this measure has become much more effective in the latest years (as consequence of the crisis) than previous literature suggested. Following up on that, it seems that exchange rate regained some of its rather historical importance while conducting monetary policy...
Comparison of the inflation prediction approaches: Monetary growth vs. Output gap analysis
Kuliková, Veronika ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Hlaváček, Michal (referee)
Inflation is one of the often used monetary indicators in conducting monetary policy. Even though money supply is an essential determinant of inflation, it is not used in inflation modeling. Currently, output gap is considered as most predicative variable. This thesis brings the empirical evidence on the hypothesis of money supply carrying more information on estimating inflation than the output gap. It is provided on the case of 16 developed European economies using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA). BMA is a comprehensive approach that deals with the model uncertainty and thus solves the variable selection problem. The results of analysis confirmed that money supply includes more information of inflation than the output gap and thus should be used in inflation modeling. These outcomes are robust towards prior selection and high correlation of some variables. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
Evaluation of Monetary Policy in Ethiopia: An Empirical Study
Taye, Alemayehu Demissew ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Bauer, Michal (referee)
In this paper, a structural vector auto regression (SVAR) approach is used to empirically investigate the effects of monetary policy shocks on output (measured by real GDP) and prices (measured by consumer price index) in Ethiopia. We isolated the SVAR structural shocks by imposing restrictions on the long- run behavior of the variables in the model, which places a recursive restriction on the disturbances of the SVAR. We considered three alternative policy instruments i.e. broad money supply (M2), lending rate and the real effective exchange rate (REER). We find evidence that price-based nominal anchors (Interest rate and REER) have an effect on real output, a modest effect of the lending rate while a significant effect of REER is documented, with a slightly faster speed of adjustment. Similarly, innovation in the quantity based nominal anchor (M2) affects economic activities significantly. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
Voting in central banks: An empirical analysis
Jonášová, Júlia ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Fišerová, Tereza (referee)
The aim of the thesis is to assess informative power of the voting records of central banks. The research concentrates on the following aspects: predictability of future repo rate changes based on the voting records in longer horizons, level of disagreement in Monetary policy committee (MPC) and financial markets' expectations, comparison between results of the analysis before and during the financial crisis and weighting every vote according to attendance of the policymaker. The results confirm that voting records are, indeed, informative about future monetary policy changes and can increase predictability of the particular central banks. Negative dispersion coefficient for the Bank of England (BoE) and Czech National Bank (CNB) suggests that increase in uncertainty stimulates looser monetary policy. For the BoE and Riksbank voting records signal the change of the repo rate approved also at the further meetings, which is partially true for the Czech Republic and Poland. Regarding the period of financial crisis, it is shown that markets heavily rely on the minutes as the source of knowledge and the magnitudes of the estimate for the skew coefficient are much higher. The effect of experience is present in the case of CNB and National Bank of Poland (NBP).
Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices: The Case of the Czech Republic
Hájek, Jan ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Benčík, Daniel (referee)
In this thesis, we examine the exchange rate pass-through phenomenon in the Czech Re- public over 1998:1-2014:1 period. As our vector autoregression results indicate, short-term pass-through effect slowed down and prolongated its duration substantially. Consequently, the accumulated value to be transmitted increased compared to previous findings. In the case of exchange rate pass-through effect to CPI, the accumulated response after 18 months accounts for about 40-60 per cent. In this regard, our time-varying results using unique Chebyshev Time Polynomials points to period 2008-2014 to be the leading cause. It seems that during macroeconomically less stable periods the exchange rate pass-through in the Czech Republic tends to increase. Even though the consensus on the pass-through lev- els and its development over time is rather scarce, we find support for our conclusions. More interestingly, having in mind November's currency interventions of the Czech Na- tional Bank to weaken koruna (and thus avoiding deflation), our results reveal that this measure has become much more effective in the latest years (as consequence of the crisis) than previous literature suggested. Following up on that, it seems that exchange rate regained some of its rather historical importance while conducting monetary policy...
The Determinants of Trust in the European Central Bank
Katuščáková, Dominika ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Janotík, Tomáš (referee)
The thesis studies the determinants of trust in the European Central Bank by employing various indicators. The main objective has been to assess the most significant determinants of trust and to study the impact of the Great Crisis on trust in the European Central Bank. First, the socio-demographic and macroeconomic variables have been studied as the predictors and socio-demographic ones have been confirmed to be more significant. We have also extended the regressions by two new variables: monetary policy transparency index and financial stability transparency index. Whereas the monetary policy transparency index has not been significantly correlated with trust, it has been proved that the financial stability transparency index has positive impact on the trust in the European Central Bank. Secondly, we have employed the bias-reduced linearization procedure for computation of the standard errors in order to account for clustering and serial correlation problems. After comparison with the robust standard errors, we have concluded that the robust standard errors are not able to completely deal with the clusters and serial correlation in data. Thirdly, it has been proved that the trust in the European Central Bank decreases during the crisis occurrence.
The determinants of reform: The case of transition countries
Davladze, Mariam ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Jurajda, Štěpán (referee)
The thesis estimates the reform determinants for 24 transition countries using spatial econometrics by maximum likelihood estimation. In the thesis is included determinants already used by other authors, as well as, two new variables - export and foreign direct investments measures. Another distinctive characteristic is inclusion of spatial endogenous and exogenous variables as explanatory variables through the use of weights matrix - W. Obtained spatial interaction is positive and high. For spatial coefficient rho value varies in the range 0.22 to 0.71 indicating on significant spatial influence among entities. From spatial exogenous coefficients I obtained significant democracy, inflation, export and FDI coefficients. I also find that the initial effect of GDP growth, FDI and democracy are important determiners of reforming process. Keywords Reform Determinants, Spatial weights matrix, spillover effect Author's e-mail mariamdavladze@yahoo.com Supervisor's e-mail roman.horvath@gmail.com
The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy of ECB to Central and Eastern European Countries: A Panel VAR Analysis
Hálová, Klára ; Horváth, Roman (advisor) ; Džmuráňová, Hana (referee)
In this thesis we examine the macroeconomic interactions of unconventional monetary policy introduced by European Central bank during crisis by estimating a panel vector autoregression. We study impact of such policies using monthly data from 13 Central and Eastern European countries within seven-year period from 2008 to 2014. We find a positive reactions of output and prices to expansionary unconventional monetary policy shock. Our results provide evidence that decrease in shadow policy rate of ECB leads to rise in output as well as temporary rise in inflation, however, the effect on inflation is weaker and less persistent. We also find that unconventional monetary policy positively influences market uncertainty, but we do not find any significant effect on exchange rates. Individual country estimates suggest that the reaction of exchange rates to non-standard monetary policy shock significantly vary across countries.

National Repository of Grey Literature : 226 records found   beginprevious133 - 142nextend  jump to record:
See also: similar author names
24 HORVÁTH, Roman
1 Horváth, R.
2 Horváth, Radovan
24 Horváth, Roman
2 Horváth, Rudolf
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