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Essays in Finance and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Visegrad Countries
Borys, Magdalena ; Zemčík, Petr (advisor) ; Gilbert, Scott (referee) ; Filer, Randall (referee)
This dissertation consists of three empirical papers on the issues of monetary policy as well as finance in the group of four Visegrad countries, namely the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia. The first paper, entitled "Testing Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models in the Visegrad Countries", attempts to point to a suitable asset-pricing model that could be used to estimate the cost of equity capital in the Visegrad countries. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) that is most often used for this purpose in developed markets has a poor empirical record and is likely not to hold in less developed and less liquid emerging markets. Various factor models have been proposed to overcome the shortcomings of the CAPM. This paper examines both the CAPM and the macroeconomic factor models in terms of their ability to explain the average stock returns using the data from the Visegrad countries. We find, as expected, that the CAPM is not able to do this task. However, factor models, including factors such as: excess market return, industrial production, inflation, money, exchange rate, exports, commodity index, and term structure, can in fact explain part of the variance in the Visegrad countries' stock returns. A second paper, "Size and Value Effects in Visegrad Countries", is an extension of the previous...
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