Název: Projections of future water-energy-vegetation regimes at the Lysina catchment, Czech Republic
Autoři: Lamačová, Anna ; Yu, X. ; Duffy, Ch. ; Krám, Pavel ; Hruška, Jakub ; Farda, Aleš
Typ dokumentu: Příspěvky z konference
Konference/Akce: Global Change and Resilience, Brno (CZ), 2013-05-22 / 2013-05-24
Rok: 2013
Jazyk: eng
Abstrakt: Hydrologic models represent useful tools for the understanding of forest hydrological functions. At the Lysina Critical Zone Observatory (50°03’ N, 12°40’ E; area 0.293 km2), a forest catchment in the western Czech Republic, a distributed physics-based hydrologic model, the Penn State Integrated Hydrologic Model (PIHM), was used to simulate long-term hydrological change under forest management practices, and to evaluate the comparative scenarios of the hydrological consequences under anticipated climate change. Stand age-adjusted LAI (leaf area index) curves were generated from an empirical relationship to represent changes in seasonal tree growth. By considering the age-adjusted LAI, the spatially distributed model was able to successfully simulate the integrated hydrologic response from snow melt, recharge, evapotranspiration, groundwater levels, soil moisture and streamfl ow, as well as spatial patterns of each hydrologic state and fl ux variables. Corrected climatic data from the ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model with SRES A1B scenario and diff erent forest age categories (Norway spruce monoculture) were used for projection of hydrologic pattern shift at the study site in the future (2025–2050, 2071–2100). Th e model projections suggested that that the decrease in mean annual runoff would be from 422 mm (observed in 1990–2011) to 361 mm (2021–2100) and 345 mm (2071–2100) with notable changes in seasonal patterns represented by a runoff decrease in the spring and summer months.
Klíčová slova: climate change scenario; critical zone observatory; distributed hydrological model; forest catchment; PIHM
Číslo projektu: ED1.1.00/02.0073
Poskytovatel projektu: GA MŠk
Zdrojový dokument: Global Change and Resilience: From Impacts to Responses : Proceedings of the 3rd annual Global Change and Resilience Conference, ISBN 978-80-904351-8-6

Instituce: Ústav výzkumu globální změny AV ČR (web)
Informace o dostupnosti dokumentu: Dokument je dostupný v příslušném ústavu Akademie věd ČR.
Původní záznam: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0230121

Trvalý odkaz NUŠL: http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-170366


Záznam je zařazen do těchto sbírek:
Věda a výzkum > AV ČR > Ústav výzkumu globální změny
Konferenční materiály > Příspěvky z konference